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Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Pittsburgh Pirates Wins: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-08

This market resolved on 2026-09-08. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits
100%———
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Total Bases
100%———
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—50%—
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 RBIs
100%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—50%—
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Total Bases
100%———
Bubba Chandler Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
100%———
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—50%—
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 RBIs
100%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases
100%———
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
100%———
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Bubba Chandler Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Bubba Chandler Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs
99%———
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5
——98%99%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5
100%—97%100%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—97%—
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—97%—
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—97%—
Total over 7.5
99%—95%97%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5
100%—98%92%
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases
93%———
Total over 8.5
99%—96%89%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5
——69%97%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5
———81%
Total over 9.5
100%—100%77%
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Kyle Teel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0
———65%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%61%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%61%
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%60%
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%60%
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Konnor Griffin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%58%
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%57%
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%56%
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%61%
Total over 8.0
———55%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0
———54%
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%56%
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—51%—
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—51%—
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—51%—
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—51%—
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%51%
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%50%
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—50%—
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—50%—
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%—50%56%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—51%49%
Total under 8.0
———50%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—51%48%
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%49%
Jacob Gonzalez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%—50%48%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0
———48%
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Kyle Teel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER
100%43%100%99%
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Total under 10.5
———38%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0
———37%
Total under 11.5
———37%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%—50%48%
Total under 6.5
———35%
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%—50%—
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%—50%—
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%—50%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%—50%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%—50%—
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%—50%—
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%—50%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%—50%—
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%—3%50%
Total under 9.5
——26%24%
Total under 7.5
——42%5%
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 RBIs
20%———
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Total Bases
19%———
Brandon Lowe Over 5.5 Total Bases
19%———
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Total Bases
19%———
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%—50%—
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 RBIs
19%———
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%—50%—
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Total Bases
19%———
Total under 8.5
——24%13%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 RBIs
18%———
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Total Bases
18%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Total Bases
18%———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Total Bases
17%———
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Total Bases
17%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Total Bases
17%———
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Total Bases
17%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 RBIs
16%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 RBIs
16%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%—50%—
Total under 5.5
———16%
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits
16%———
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Total Bases
16%———
Colson Montgomery Over 5.5 Total Bases
16%———
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Total Bases
16%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Total Bases
16%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 5.5 Total Bases
16%———
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5
———14%
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%—50%—
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits
11%———
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits
9%———
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Total Bases
8%———
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 RBIs
8%———
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5
——5%10%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5
——2%12%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5
1%—1%7%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 RBIs
7%———
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Chicago White Sox
1%57%5%5%
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits
5%———
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5
1%—4%5%
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Total Bases
4%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Total Bases
4%———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 RBIs
4%———
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 RBIs
4%———
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 RBIs
4%———
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases
4%———
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Sean Burke Over 3.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits
2%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits
2%———
Sean Burke Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Sean Burke Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sean Burke Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sean Burke Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Bubba Chandler Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Under 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Under 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Bubba Chandler Under 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Over 2.5 runs scored
————
Over 3.5 runs scored
————
Over 4.5 runs scored
————
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5
————
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Sean Burke Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Burke Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Burke Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Burke Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Burke Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Burke Under 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Burke Under 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Sean Burke Under 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 12.5
————
Total over 5.5
————
Total over 6.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread56.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Pittsburgh Pirates

85.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Chicago WS wins the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 8 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-08 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Pittsburgh Pirates: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 43.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 5.1¢ on ProphetX, 57.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Pittsburgh Pirates at 85.4¢ implies about a 85.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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