About This Market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-08
This market resolved on 2026-09-08. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits | 100% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Total Bases | 100% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 50% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 RBIs | 100% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 50% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Total Bases | 100% | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 100% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 50% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 RBIs | 100% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases | 100% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 100% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 100% | — | 97% | 100% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 97% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 97% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 97% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 95% | 97% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | 98% | 92% |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases | 93% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 96% | 89% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 69% | 97% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Total over 9.5 | 100% | — | 100% | 77% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Kyle Teel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 61% |
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 61% |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 60% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 60% |
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Konnor Griffin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 58% |
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 57% |
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 56% |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 49% | 61% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 49% | 56% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 51% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 51% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 51% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 51% | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 51% |
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 50% |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 50% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 50% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | 50% | 56% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 51% | 49% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 51% | 48% |
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 49% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 50% | 48% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Kyle Teel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER | 100% | 43% | 100% | 99% |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 37% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 37% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | 50% | 48% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 35% |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 50% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | 50% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | 50% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | 50% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | 50% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | 50% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | 50% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | 50% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | 3% | 50% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 26% | 24% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 42% | 5% |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 5.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 50% | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | 50% | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 24% | 13% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 3.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | 50% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits | 16% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 5.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 5.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | 50% | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Total Bases | 8% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 5% | 10% |
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 2% | 12% |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 7% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox | 1% | 57% | 5% | 5% |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 5% |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Total Bases | 4% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Total Bases | 4% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases | 4% | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Bubba Chandler Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Sean Burke Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates
85.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Chicago WS wins the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 8 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-08 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Pittsburgh Pirates: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 43.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 5.1¢ on ProphetX, 57.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 56.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Pittsburgh Pirates at 85.4¢ implies about a 85.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.