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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Pittsburgh Pirates Wins: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-10

This market resolved on 2026-09-10. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Andrew Benintendi Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Andrew Benintendi Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Braden Montgomery Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Brandon Lowe Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Brandon Lowe Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Brandon Lowe Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Bryan Reynolds Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Colson Montgomery Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Konnor Griffin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Miguel Vargas Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Miguel Vargas Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Nick Gonzales Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Nick Gonzales Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Sam Antonacci Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	—
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	99%
Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	98%
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	98%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	98%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	98%
Total under 8.5	—	—	97%	99%
Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	96%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5	—	—	96%	96%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	96%
Total under 7.5	—	—	91%	98%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	94%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5	—	—	94%	90%
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	91%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	91%
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	83%	98%
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	89%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 2.5	—	—	80%	98%
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	78%	92%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5	83%	—	37%	88%
Konnor Griffin Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	81%	—
Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	74%
Total under 6.5	—	—	46%	99%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	65%
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Chase Meidroth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	63%
Henry Davis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	61%
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	61%
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER	100%	49%	61%	97%
Jared Jones Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	1%	60%
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	59%
Jake Rogers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Sam Antonacci Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	58%
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	55%
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	55%
Konnor Griffin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	55%
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	99%	54%
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	52%
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	52%
Jake Rogers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	51%
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Braden Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	50%	—
Henry Davis Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	49%
Sam Antonacci Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	47%
Hagen Smith Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	46%
Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	45%
Jacob Gonzalez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Andrew Benintendi Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	43%
Jared Jones Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	99%	43%
Chase Meidroth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	42%
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	42%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5	1%	—	77%	7%
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	42%
Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	37%	44%
Tristan Peters Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	40%
Chicago White Sox spread plus 1.5	—	—	59%	21%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 1.5	1%	—	33%	14%
Chicago White Sox	1%	51%	14%	5%
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	13%
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	12%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	20%	—
Chicago White Sox spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	12%
Total over 6.5	6%	—	44%	11%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	11%
Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	10%
Chicago White Sox spread minus 2.5	1%	—	1%	10%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs	10%	—	17%	6%
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	9%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	0%	9%
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	10%
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	—	—
Total over 7.5	4%	—	4%	5%
Andrew Benintendi Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Andrew Benintendi Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Andrew Benintendi Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Braden Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Konnor Griffin Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	—
Miguel Vargas Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Nick Gonzales Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Nick Gonzales Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Sam Antonacci Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Sam Antonacci Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Sam Antonacci Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	—
Andrew Benintendi Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Colson Montgomery Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Jared Jones Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Jared Jones Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Miguel Vargas Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Munetaka Murakami Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	—
Andrew Benintendi Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Andrew Benintendi Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Braden Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Braden Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Braden Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Braden Montgomery Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Braden Montgomery Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Braden Montgomery Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Brandon Lowe Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Brandon Lowe Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Bryan Reynolds Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Bryan Reynolds Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Bryan Reynolds Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Chicago WS wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Colson Montgomery Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Colson Montgomery Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Colson Montgomery Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Jared Jones Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Jared Jones Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Jared Jones Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Konnor Griffin Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Konnor Griffin Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Konnor Griffin Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Konnor Griffin Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Konnor Griffin Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	99%
Konnor Griffin Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Konnor Griffin Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Miguel Vargas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Miguel Vargas Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Miguel Vargas Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Miguel Vargas Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Miguel Vargas Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Munetaka Murakami Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Munetaka Murakami Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Munetaka Murakami Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Munetaka Murakami Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Munetaka Murakami Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Munetaka Murakami Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Nick Gonzales Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Nick Gonzales Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Nick Gonzales Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Nick Gonzales Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	—
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Over 11.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—
Sam Antonacci Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	51%	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 2.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 3.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 9.5	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Pittsburgh wins the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 10 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-10 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Pittsburgh Pirates: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 60.5¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on ProphetX, 49.0¢ on Polymarket US; Chicago White Sox: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 14.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.1¢ on ProphetX, 51.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 50.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Pittsburgh Pirates at 76.5¢ implies about a 76.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Pittsburgh Pirates Wins: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

Pittsburgh Pirates Wins: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Pittsburgh Pirates Wins: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

Pittsburgh Pirates Wins: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox (7:40 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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