About This Market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins (1:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins (1:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-13
This market resolved on 2026-08-13. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins (1:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Leo Jimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Owen Caissie Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Tyler Phillips Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Tyler Phillips Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 98% |
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER | 99% | 98% | 100% | 98% |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 97% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 97% |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 95% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 93% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 91% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 90% |
Ronny Simon Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 98% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 96% |
Tyler Phillips Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 88% | — |
Henry Davis Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 95% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 87% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 87% |
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 84% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 91% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 84% | — |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | 98% | 68% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 94% | 71% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Henry Davis Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Joe Mack Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Ronny Simon Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 79% | 81% |
Tyler Phillips Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 78% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 78% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 77% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 71% | — |
Henry Davis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 64% |
Henry Davis Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 62% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Ronny Simon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 58% |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 58% |
Tyler Phillips Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 58% | 57% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 57% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 56% |
Ronny Simon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 56% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 1% | 55% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 54% | — | — | 54% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | 54% |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 55% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 50% |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 0% | 50% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 50% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | 56% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 48% |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 46% |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 45% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 47% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 47% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 45% |
Tyler Phillips Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 42% | 47% |
Henry Davis Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 40% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | 57% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | 0% | 39% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 37% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 37% |
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs | 58% | — | — | 8% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 30% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 29% | — |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 29% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 23% |
Tyler Phillips Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 22% | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 21% | 21% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | 2% | 40% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 20% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 18% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 6% | 31% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 19% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 16% | — |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 16% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 15% | — | — | 14% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 14% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 10% | — | — | 16% |
Henry Davis Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Tyler Phillips Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 12% | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 11% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 2% | — | — | 15% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 13% |
Ronny Simon Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 10% |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 7% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 8% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 8% |
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 6% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 7% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | — | — |
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins | 1% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 1% | — |
Tyler Phillips Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Tyler Phillips Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Esteury Ruiz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Esteury Ruiz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Leo Jimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Owen Caissie Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Henry Davis Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Joe Mack Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ronny Simon Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates
98.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Pittsburgh wins the Pittsburgh vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 13 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-13 at 1:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Pittsburgh Pirates: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; Miami Marlins: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.3¢ on ProphetX, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Pittsburgh Pirates at 98.6¢ implies about a 98.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.