About This Market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29
This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 98% |
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER | 99% | 94% | 100% | 98% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 93% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 93% | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 88% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 88% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 90% |
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 99% | 86% |
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 85% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 74% | 92% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 80% | 84% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 80% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 79% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 75% | 74% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 73% |
Ramon Urias Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 63% |
Kyle Leahy Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 62% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Kyle Leahy Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 57% | 58% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 58% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | — | — | 54% |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | 51% |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 53% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 54% |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 49% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Hits | 47% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | — |
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Ramon Urias Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Kyle Leahy Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 43% | 46% |
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 47% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 41% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Kyle Leahy Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 39% |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 33% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 32% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 RBIs | 28% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 25% | 29% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Kyle Leahy Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 25% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
Alec Burleson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits | 23% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 22% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 20% | 21% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 19% |
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 18% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 17% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 15% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits | 16% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 16% |
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 15% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 15% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 14% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 14% | 11% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 16% | 12% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 12% | 12% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Jordan Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 7% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 10% |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 3% | 16% |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 8% | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | 8% |
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | 8% |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 14% | 6% |
St. Louis Cardinals | 1% | 6% | 0% | 5% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 5% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 5% |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 6% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 9% | 4% |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 6% |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 RBIs | 4% | — | — | — |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 5% |
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 3% | 8% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 11.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Leahy Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates
97.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf St. Louis wins the Pittsburgh vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 29 at 2:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 2:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Pittsburgh Pirates: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 97.9¢ on ProphetX, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on ProphetX, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 5.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Pittsburgh Pirates at 97.7¢ implies about a 97.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.