About This Market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30
This market resolved on 2026-08-30. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jared Triolo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 98% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 95% |
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 90% | 92% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 91% | — |
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 90% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 89% | 91% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 97% | 81% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 88% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 85% | 91% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 90% | 80% |
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 85% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER | 99% | 79% | 100% | 84% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 80% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 76% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 69% | 78% |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 68% |
Ramon Urias Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Matthew Liberatore Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 64% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 64% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 59% | 64% |
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 61% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 60% |
Nick Yorke Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 58% | — | — | 61% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | — | — | 57% |
Braxton Ashcraft Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 55% | — |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Billy Cook Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Billy Cook Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jared Triolo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jared Triolo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 51% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 52% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 52% |
Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Nick Yorke Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 45% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 45% |
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 44% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 41% | 44% |
Ramon Urias Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 42% |
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 40% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs | 39% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 36% |
Matthew Liberatore Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 36% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | 43% |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 31% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 31% | 26% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 28% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 25% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 24% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
St. Louis Cardinals | 1% | 22% | 0% | 18% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 24% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 24% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 15% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 13% |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 14% | 17% |
Alec Burleson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 11% | 13% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 12% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5 | 2% | — | — | 16% |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 6% | 12% |
Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 9% |
Nick Yorke Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Ivan Herrera Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 11% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 10% | 7% |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 10% | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 8% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 10% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 6% | 6% |
Ivan Herrera Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 4% | 9% |
Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 5% |
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 3% |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 3% | 9% |
Alec Burleson Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Braxton Ashcraft Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates
90.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf St. Louis wins the Pittsburgh vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pittsburgh vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 30 at 2:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 2:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Pittsburgh Pirates: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 84.4¢ on ProphetX, 78.5¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 18.2¢ on ProphetX, 21.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 21.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Pittsburgh Pirates at 90.4¢ implies about a 90.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.