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Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cincinnati Reds Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-02

This market resolved on 2026-09-02. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

San Diego Padres vs.

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs
—97%—
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5
——96%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5
—1%94%
Total under 13.5
—1%92%
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs
—96%84%
Total under 11.5
—99%89%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
—83%93%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%95%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
—85%90%
Total under 10.5
—97%77%
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%86%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%90%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%83%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%85%
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5
——82%
Total under 12.5
—79%85%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%82%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%81%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Casey Mize Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—80%—
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs
—79%81%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5
—0%75%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0
——71%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits
69%——
TJ Friedl Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——68%
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——66%
Casey Mize Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—80%50%
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——64%
Manny Machado Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——63%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%—62%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
Freddy Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——60%
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——59%
Brandon Williamson Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—0%58%
Austin Hays Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——57%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——57%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0
——56%
Total over 9.0
——56%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——56%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——55%
Total under 10.0
——55%
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——53%
Total under 9.5
—0%53%
Samad Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——52%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——51%
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%
Freddy Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——48%
Total over 10.0
——46%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0
——46%
Total under 9.0
——46%
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——46%
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%—45%
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
TJ Friedl Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——41%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5
—0%36%
Total under 8.5
—0%34%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0
——31%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits
31%——
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5
——31%
Total under 6.5
——25%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5
——22%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs
20%4%30%
Total under 5.5
——20%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 RBIs
19%——
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%——
Total under 7.5
——17%
Total over 11.5
17%1%17%
Total over 12.5
2%1%24%
TJ Friedl Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%20%—
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5
1%1%10%
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits
9%——
Total over 13.5
2%1%14%
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits
3%——
Casey Mize Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Casey Mize Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Casey Mize Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——
Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBIs
0%——
Manny Machado Over 2.5 RBIs
0%——
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——
Austin Hays Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Brandon Williamson Over 1.5 Strikeouts
———
Brandon Williamson Over 12.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Brandon Williamson Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———
Brandon Williamson Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
Brandon Williamson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Brandon Williamson Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Casey Mize Over 1.5 Strikeouts
———
Casey Mize Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Casey Mize Over 2.5 Strikeouts
———
Casey Mize Over 3.5 Strikeouts
———
Casey Mize Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Casey Mize Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Casey Mize Over 6.5 Strikeouts
———
Casey Mize Over 7.5 Strikeouts
———
Cincinnati RedsWINNER
———
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
———
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
———
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Over 3.5 runs scored
———
Over 4.5 runs scored
———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits
———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits
———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Total Bases
———
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits
———
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Total Bases
———
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Total Bases
———
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Total Bases
———
Samad Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
San Diego Padres
———
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5
———
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5
———
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5
———
Total over 10.5
———
Total over 5.5
———
Total over 6.5
———
Total over 7.5
———
Total over 8.5
———
Total over 9.5
———
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs
———
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs
———
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Cincinnati Reds

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Diego wins the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 2 at 12:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-02 at 12:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (12:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

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