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Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cincinnati Reds Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-01

This market resolved on 2026-09-01. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

San Diego Padres vs.

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Nick Lodolo Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%100%—
Nick Lodolo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%100%—
Randy Vasquez Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%100%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
99%——
Randy Vasquez Over 7.5 Strikeouts
—99%—
Samad Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%
TJ Friedl Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%
Austin Hays Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%
Hector Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
—96%91%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs
—88%96%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
—90%91%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
—88%91%
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%
Total under 6.5
——89%
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs
—83%94%
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs
—0%88%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
—1%87%
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%93%
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5
——86%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
—81%91%
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
—80%89%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5
——83%
Total under 13.5
——83%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5
——82%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
—85%79%
Total under 8.5
——82%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5
—79%83%
Nick Lodolo Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—81%—
Randy Vasquez Under 6.5 Strikeouts
—80%—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Nick Lodolo Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—80%—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Home Runs
—80%—
Total under 7.5
——79%
Total under 12.5
——72%
Randy Vasquez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—81%61%
Total under 11.0
——69%
Total under 11.5
—70%63%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0
——67%
Ty France Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——65%
Total under 9.5
—53%76%
Xander Bogaerts Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——64%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——63%
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——62%
Manny Machado Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——62%
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
TJ Friedl Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——61%
Total under 10.0
——60%
Randy Vasquez Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%60%—
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——59%
Freddy Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——58%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.0
——56%
Hector Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——56%
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——56%
Nick Lodolo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%100%56%
Total over 9.0
——55%
Samad Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——54%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——54%
Austin Hays Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——53%
Austin Hays Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——52%
Total under 9.0
——52%
Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——51%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——50%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0
——50%
Hector Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——49%
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——48%
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Nick Lodolo Under 4.5 Strikeouts
—0%47%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——47%
Ty France Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——45%
Total under 10.5
—35%54%
Freddy Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——44%
TJ Friedl Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——44%
Xander Bogaerts Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——44%
Randy Vasquez Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%99%43%
Total over 10.0
——43%
Total under 5.5
——39%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%100%36%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.0
——35%
Total over 11.0
——35%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5
—0%22%
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5
——21%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs
—20%—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%20%—
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Home Runs
—20%—
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%20%19%
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
—20%19%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—19%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%20%17%
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs
—20%15%
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
—20%15%
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%17%16%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs
—20%13%
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——16%
Nick Lodolo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
9%19%—
Hector Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——14%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs
——13%
Austin Hays Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
TJ Friedl Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%
Nick Lodolo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%19%—
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%
Samad Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%——
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%3%—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%——
Randy Vasquez Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%100%—
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs
—3%—
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Home Runs
—2%—
Randy Vasquez Under 1.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Randy Vasquez Under 7.5 Strikeouts
—1%—
Nick Lodolo Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Nick Lodolo Under 3.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Randy Vasquez Under 2.5 Strikeouts
—0%—
Cincinnati RedsWINNER
———
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
———
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
———
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits
———
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits
———
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits
———
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits
———
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits
———
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Nick Lodolo Over 1.5 Strikeouts
———
Nick Lodolo Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Nick Lodolo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Over 3.5 runs scored
———
Over 4.5 runs scored
———
Randy Vasquez Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
———
Randy Vasquez Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———
Randy Vasquez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits
———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits
———
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits
———
Sal Stewart Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits
———
Sal Stewart Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
Sal Stewart Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———
San Diego Padres
———
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5
———
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5
———
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5
———
Total over 10.5
———
Total over 11.5
———
Total over 12.5
———
Total over 13.5
———
Total over 5.5
———
Total over 6.5
———
Total over 7.5
———
Total over 8.5
———
Total over 9.5
———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Cincinnati Reds

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cincinnati wins the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Diego vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 1 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-01 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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