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San Diego Padres vs.
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-14
This market resolved on 2026-08-14. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
San Diego Padres vs.
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Gavin Sheets Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Steven Kwan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Luis Rengifo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Travis Bazzana Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 99% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Michael King Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 97% |
Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 95% |
San Diego PadresWINNER | 99% | 96% | 21% | 95% |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 94% |
Jo Adell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 92% |
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Jose Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 89% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Michael King Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 90% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 91% | 82% |
Gavin Sheets Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 79% |
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Michael King Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 78% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Gavin Williams Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 57% | 94% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 75% |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 74% | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 56% | 92% |
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 99% |
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 99% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 98% |
Gavin Williams Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 73% | — |
Steven Kwan Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 71% | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Luis Rengifo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 43% | 91% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 48% | 86% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 46% | 87% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Travis Bazzana Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Nathaniel Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Michael King Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 61% | 61% |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 59% |
Gavin Williams Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 58% | 60% |
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 31% | 82% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 28% | 83% |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 50% |
Patrick Bailey Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 69% | 28% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Gavin Sheets Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 99% |
Brayan Rocchio Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 72% | 21% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 46% |
Michael King Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 44% |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 45% |
Gavin Williams Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 43% | 44% |
Gavin Williams Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 42% | 44% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Michael King Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 39% | 40% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 54% | 22% |
Gavin Sheets Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 57% | 17% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 37% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 52% | 18% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 52% | 10% |
Jose Ramirez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | 9% |
Gavin Sheets Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | 9% |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 52% | 7% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Home Runs | 50% | — | — | 7% |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 44% | 13% |
Gavin Williams Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 27% | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
Jo Adell Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 24% | — | — | — |
Michael King Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 22% | — |
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 23% |
Jo Adell Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 14% |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 14% |
Steven Kwan Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 12% | — | 5% | 14% |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Home Runs | 11% | — | 5% | 13% |
Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 11% |
Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Michael King Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 10% | — |
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 9% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 7% |
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Steven Kwan Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 6% | — | — | — |
Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Cleveland Guardians | 1% | 4% | 79% | 6% |
Angel Martinez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Luis Rengifo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 11.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gavin Williams Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael King Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael King Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Michael King Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Angel Martinez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brayan Rocchio Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chase DeLauter Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jo Adell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jo Adell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jose Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Patrick Bailey Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Angel Martinez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Angel Martinez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Brayan Rocchio Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chase DeLauter Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Gavin Sheets Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nathaniel Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Patrick Bailey Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cleveland wins the San Diego vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-14 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Diego Padres: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 21.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.2¢ on ProphetX, 96.0¢ on Polymarket US; Cleveland Guardians: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 79.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.8¢ on ProphetX, 4.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 78.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Diego Padres at 77.8¢ implies about a 77.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.