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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Colorado Rockies Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-15

This market resolved on 2026-09-15. Colorado Rockies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Walker Buehler Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	100%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—	—
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Austin Hays Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Austin Hays Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Austin Hays Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Austin Hays Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Cole Carrigg Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Cole Carrigg Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Cole Carrigg Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Cole Carrigg Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Cole Carrigg Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jake McCarthy Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jake McCarthy Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Manny Machado Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Manny Machado Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mickey Moniak Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mickey Moniak Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mickey Moniak Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
TJ Rumfield Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
TJ Rumfield Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
TJ Rumfield Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
TJ Rumfield Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Walker Buehler Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Xander Bogaerts Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Xander Bogaerts Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Xander Bogaerts Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%	—
Colorado RockiesWINNER	99%	43%	36%	97%	97%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	94%
Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	89%	94%
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	88%	94%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 2.5	93%	—	—	91%	75%
Cole Carrigg Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	88%	93%
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	87%	90%
Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	86%
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	83%	85%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.5	97%	—	—	23%	83%
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	81%	—	—	—	—
Austin Hays Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	81%
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	76%	83%
Ezequiel Tovar Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	80%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	79%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.5	—	—	45%	98%	76%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	74%
Connor Norby Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	70%
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	70%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	69%	—
Total under 14.5	—	—	—	—	69%
Total over 10.5	100%	—	54%	100%	81%
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	67%	—	—	—	—
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	67%
Total over 12.5	66%	—	43%	71%	68%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	63%
Xander Bogaerts Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	62%
Austin Hays Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	61%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—	61%
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	60%
Total under 13.5	—	—	—	—	60%
Total under 12.0	—	—	—	—	60%
Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Adael Amador Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Brett Sullivan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Jake McCarthy Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	59%
Connor Norby Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	58%
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	58%
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	57%
Ty France Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Walker Buehler Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	53%	59%
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	55%
Total under 12.5	—	—	57%	54%	36%
Brett Sullivan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	54%
Total under 11.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Total over 11.5	100%	—	45%	100%	62%
Manny Machado Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	53%
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	52%
Ty France Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 2.5	—	—	52%	22%	87%
Jackson Merrill Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	51%
Samad Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Total over 11.0	—	—	—	—	50%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	73%	27%
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	50%
Kyle Freeland Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	49%
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	49%
Total under 11.5	—	—	56%	1%	41%
Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	48%
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Adael Amador Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Jake McCarthy Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	47%
Austin Hays Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	46%
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	46%
Walker Buehler Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	47%	42%
Xander Bogaerts Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Total over 12.0	—	—	—	—	44%
Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	44%	—	—	—	—
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5	—	—	44%	—	43%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	43%
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	27%	—	—	—	52%
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	—	55%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	—	39%
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	—	54%
Total under 10.5	—	—	46%	100%	24%
San Diego Padres	1%	57%	64%	1%	7%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	29%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5	1%	—	55%	2%	28%
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	25%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	100%	—	—	1%	24%
Total under 8.5	—	—	—	—	24%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	—	—	—
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5	1%	—	49%	22%	18%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	23%	20%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—	—
Mickey Moniak Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	1%	—
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	20%
Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	19%	22%
Mickey Moniak Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	—	—
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	18%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	24%	17%
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	17%	26%
Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	17%
Connor Norby Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	16%
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	1%	—
Mickey Moniak Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	0%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	—	—
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	12%
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	—	—
Austin Hays Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Austin Hays Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Austin Hays Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Austin Hays Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Cole Carrigg Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Cole Carrigg Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Cole Carrigg Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Cole Carrigg Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jake McCarthy Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jake McCarthy Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Manny Machado Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Mickey Moniak Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
TJ Rumfield Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
TJ Rumfield Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
TJ Rumfield Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
TJ Rumfield Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Walker Buehler Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Walker Buehler Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Walker Buehler Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Xander Bogaerts Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Xander Bogaerts Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Xander Bogaerts Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—	—
Walker Buehler Over 2.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	50%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Jake McCarthy Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Mickey Moniak Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	0%	—
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Jake McCarthy Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 13.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 14.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 8.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 9.5	—	—	—	—	—
Walker Buehler Over 1.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	99%	—
Walker Buehler Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	99%	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If San Diego wins the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

San Diego Padres in San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 15 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 8:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Colorado Rockies: 98.5¢ on Kalshi, 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.1¢ on ProphetX, 43.0¢ on Polymarket US, 36.0¢ on Novig; San Diego Padres: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.1¢ on Polymarket, 6.6¢ on ProphetX, 57.0¢ on Polymarket US, 64.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 63.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Colorado Rockies at 74.3¢ implies about a 74.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Colorado Rockies Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

Colorado Rockies Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Colorado Rockies Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

Colorado Rockies Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

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