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Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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San Diego Padres Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

San Diego Padres vs.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-16. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%—
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Cole Carrigg Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jackson Merrill Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jackson Merrill Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jake Cronenworth Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jake Cronenworth Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jake Cronenworth Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jake McCarthy Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jake McCarthy Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jake McCarthy Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Jake McCarthy Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Kyle Karros Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Kyle Karros Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Kyle Karros Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Kyle Karros Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Kyle Karros Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Kyle Karros Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Luis Campusano Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Luis Campusano Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Luis Campusano Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Luis Campusano Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Manny Machado Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Manny Machado Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Manny Machado Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Mickey Moniak Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Mickey Moniak Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Mickey Moniak Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
Mickey Moniak Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
TJ Rumfield Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
TJ Rumfield Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
TJ Rumfield Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
TJ Rumfield Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%—
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5
——97%98%
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Home Runs
——97%—
Cole Carrigg Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Cole Carrigg Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Cole Carrigg Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%—
Robbie Ray Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——97%—
Robbie Ray Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——97%—
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5
——96%98%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
93%———
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%91%
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%90%
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%—
Cole Carrigg Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
85%———
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5
100%83%99%81%
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5
99%66%100%94%
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5
———79%
Brett Sullivan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———79%
Mickey Moniak Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%79%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——75%81%
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%76%
TJ Rumfield Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%76%
Zac Veen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———76%
Cole Carrigg Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——97%51%
Brett Sullivan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%73%
Total over 10.5
99%54%100%90%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0
———72%
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%69%
TJ Rumfield Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%69%
Zac Veen Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Dustin Harris Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total over 11.5
99%44%100%81%
Jake McCarthy Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%61%
Total over 11.0
———61%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.5
1%—97%23%
Ty France Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Dustin Harris Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Ethan Salas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 2.5
1%—96%21%
Total under 14.5
—69%—47%
Adael Amador Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Jackson Merrill Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%57%
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%57%
Robbie Ray Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——55%59%
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%57%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0
———57%
Kyle Karros Over 0.5 Home Runs
——97%14%
Ethan Salas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Manny Machado Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%54%
Troy Johnston Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total over 12.5
1%—21%87%
Adael Amador Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Troy Johnston Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——53%
Mason Adams Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——49%56%
Kyle Karros Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%52%
Total under 11.0
———51%
Mason Adams Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—49%52%
Ty France Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%50%
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%50%
Robbie Ray Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—55%43%
Total under 12.5
——79%18%
Dustin Harris Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jake McCarthy Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——99%47%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.0
———45%
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Total under 9.5
———44%
Dustin Harris Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jake McCarthy Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%42%
Total under 11.5
—57%100%28%
Cole Carrigg Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%40%
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%—0%53%
Total under 10.5
—46%100%30%
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%—0%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%—0%57%
Total under 13.5
———36%
Total under 8.5
———33%
Colorado Rockies spread minus 1.0
———32%
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%55%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 2.5
—34%100%24%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 3.5
———25%
Colorado Rockies spread plus 4.5
———25%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—75%24%
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%—23%23%
Total under 7.5
———21%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%—1%—
Colorado Rockies spread plus 1.5
—18%1%24%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%18%
Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Home Runs
——15%18%
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs
———16%
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%16%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Adael Amador Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%—0%—
Brett Sullivan Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs
——11%11%
Dustin Harris Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Home Runs
——99%10%
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%10%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%—3%—
Cole Carrigg Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——3%—
Robbie Ray Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—3%—
Robbie Ray Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—3%—
Cole Carrigg Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Kyle Karros Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Cole Carrigg Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Cole Carrigg Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jake McCarthy Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jake McCarthy Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jake McCarthy Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jake McCarthy Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Kyle Karros Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Kyle Karros Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Kyle Karros Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Luis Campusano Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Luis Campusano Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Luis Campusano Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Mason Adams Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Mason Adams Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Mason Adams Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Mason Adams Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Mickey Moniak Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Robbie Ray Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Robbie Ray Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
TJ Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
TJ Rumfield Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
TJ Rumfield Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
TJ Rumfield Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
——1%—
Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Colorado Rockies
————
Colorado wins by over 3.5 runs
————
Mason Adams Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—
Mason Adams Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—
Over 15.5 runs scored
————
Over 5.5 runs scored
————
Over 6.5 runs scored
————
San Diego PadresWINNER
————
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5
————
Total over 13.5
————
Total over 14.5
————
Total over 7.5
————
Total over 8.5
————
Total over 9.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates2
Winner

Colorado Rockies

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Colorado wins the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Diego vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Colorado Rockies in San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 16 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 8:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds