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Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET)

MLB·2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Milwaukee Brewers55¢1.82xPolymarket USSan Diego Padres46¢2.17xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Milwaukee Brewers about a 54.7% chance. San Diego Padres follows at 45.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

Traders give Milwaukee Brewers about a 54.7% chance. San Diego Padres follows at 45.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.5 percentage points.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET): MLB game scheduled for 2026-10-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
55%
Kalshi56¢
Polymarket US55¢
Polymarket55¢
Polymarket US1.82x55¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
55.5%55¢56¢44¢45¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
54.5%55¢55¢45¢46¢
PolymarketPolymarket
54.0%54¢55¢45¢46¢
San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres
46%
Kalshi46¢
Polymarket US46¢
Polymarket46¢
Polymarket US2.20x46¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
45.0%44¢46¢54¢56¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
45.5%45¢46¢55¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
46.0%45¢46¢54¢55¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Milwaukee Brewers

54.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Milwaukee wins the San Diego vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Diego vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 4 at 4:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB NL Division Series Game 2 scheduled for 2026-10-04 at 4:00PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET) odds?

The latest available prices are Milwaukee Brewers: 55.5¢ on Kalshi, 54.0¢ on Polymarket, 54.5¢ on Polymarket US; San Diego Padres: 45.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.0¢ on Polymarket, 45.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers (4:00 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Milwaukee Brewers at 54.7¢ implies about a 54.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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