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San Diego Padres vs.
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-18. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-18
This market resolved on 2026-08-18. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
San Diego Padres vs.
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-18. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Austin Hays Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Luis Rengifo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
San Diego PadresWINNER | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 50% | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Freddy Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Zach Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Austin Hays Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 98% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 96% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 95% |
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 94% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 100% | 93% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 91% |
New York Mets spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 86% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 84% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 83% |
Freddy Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 82% |
Austin Hays Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 52% | 92% |
Christopher Morel Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Christopher Morel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Robbie Ray Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | 68% |
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 56% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Robbie Ray Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 50% | 99% |
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Robbie Ray Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 49% | — | — | — |
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 99% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 48% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 48% |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 3% | 90% |
Christopher Morel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 42% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 38% |
Austin Hays Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 29% |
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | 7% |
Freddy Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 28% |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 25% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 25% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 23% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 0% | 20% |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 19% |
New York Mets | 1% | 1% | 33% | 4% |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 14% |
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 12% |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 11% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 10% |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 0% | 10% |
Luis Rengifo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 9% |
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 3% | 14% |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 8% |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 0% | 8% |
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 8% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 8% |
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 7% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Austin Hays Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 7% |
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 6% |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 6% |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5 | 2% | — | — | 7% |
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Robbie Ray Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Robbie Ray Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Robbie Ray Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Austin Hays Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Robbie Ray Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Robbie Ray Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Robbie Ray Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Robbie Ray Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
San Diego Padres
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the San Diego vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and New York Mets, scheduled for August 18 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-18 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Diego Padres: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.3¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 33.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.6¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 32.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Diego Padres at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.