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San Diego Padres vs.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (7:20 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (7:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-13
This market resolved on 2026-09-13. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
San Diego Padres vs.
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (7:20 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 1% | 98% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 96% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 95% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 0% | 95% |
Total over 7.5 | 100% | — | 92% | 100% | 98% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 94% |
Total over 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 100% | 94% |
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 93% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 93% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 92% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 91% |
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 90% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 90% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | — | 89% |
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 89% |
Total over 9.5 | 100% | — | 87% | — | 90% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 84% |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 83% |
San Diego PadresWINNER | 100% | 53% | 83% | 100% | 97% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5 | 100% | — | 81% | 13% | 86% |
Total over 6.5 | 100% | — | 57% | 100% | 95% |
Dustin Harris Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 72% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | 60% | — | 81% |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 69% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 67% | — | — | — | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 66% |
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 65% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 48% | 100% | 81% |
Samad Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 64% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | — | 77% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | 63% | — | — | — | — |
Brett Harris Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Sung-Mun Song Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 58% |
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 58% |
Grant McCray Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Dustin Harris Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 57% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 56% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Logan Webb Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Grant McCray Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 51% |
Nick Pivetta Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 51% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Dustin Harris Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Sung-Mun Song Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Samad Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 42% | — | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 52% | 100% | 23% |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 33% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | 41% | — | 24% |
Dustin Harris Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 30% |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 28% | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 43% | 100% | 9% |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 26% | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 21% | — | — | — | 21% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 18% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 20% | 13% | 18% |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants | 1% | 47% | 18% | 100% | 6% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | 17% | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | 15% | — | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 13% | — | 14% |
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 11% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 11% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 11% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — | 100% | 10% |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 10% | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 10% |
Dustin Harris Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 10% |
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 9% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 9% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | 9% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 8% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 9% | 100% | 7% |
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 7% |
Samad Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 6% |
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 6% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — | 1% | 6% |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 4.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Logan Webb Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Nick Pivetta Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres
86.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the San Diego vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 at 7:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigSan Francisco Giants in San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 13 at 7:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-13 at 7:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Diego Padres: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.8¢ on ProphetX, 53.0¢ on Polymarket US, 82.5¢ on Novig; San Francisco Giants: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 47.0¢ on Polymarket US, 17.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 99.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Diego Padres at 86.3¢ implies about a 86.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.