Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28

This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Shane McClanahan Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	—
Austin Hays Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Casey Mize Over 0.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—
Casey Mize Over 1.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—
Casey Mize Over 2.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Freddy Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Shane McClanahan Over 1.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—
Shane McClanahan Over 2.5 Earned Runs	99%	—	—	—
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Xander Bogaerts Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits	99%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5	99%	—	99%	99%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER	99%	98%	100%	98%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	97%
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	99%
Luis Rengifo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	96%	99%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	93%	99%
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	92%	99%
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	99%
Total over 3.5	99%	—	—	92%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	—	91%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5	—	—	0%	89%
Ty France Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	89%	99%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	77%	99%
Total over 2.5	99%	—	—	88%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	88%	99%
Total over 7.5	99%	—	100%	85%
Total over 11.5	99%	—	—	83%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5	99%	—	82%	85%
Total over 5.5	99%	—	—	83%
Total over 6.0	—	—	—	81%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	81%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5	—	—	0%	80%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	98%	—	—	54%
Total over 4.5	99%	—	—	75%
Austin Hays Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	72%
Total over 10.5	99%	—	—	71%
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	68%	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	68%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5	99%	—	—	67%
Shane McClanahan Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	67%	—
Austin Hays Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	63%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	59%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	59%
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	57%
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	57%
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	57%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	57%
Shane McClanahan Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	57%	56%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	56%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	56%
Total over 6.5	99%	—	40%	72%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	21%	88%
Casey Mize Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	54%
Shane McClanahan Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	54%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	52%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Total under 8.5	—	—	80%	19%
Total under 6.5	—	—	61%	37%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	48%
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	48%
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	48%
Luis Rengifo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	47%	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	47%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Shane McClanahan Over 4.5 Strikeouts	61%	—	43%	46%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Freddy Fermin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	45%
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Austin Hays Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	43%
Austin Hays Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	42%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	38%
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	37%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	36%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits	35%	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	68%	—
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	33%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	33%	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	32%	—
Luis Rengifo Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	32%	—
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	32%	—
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	32%	—
Luis Rengifo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	50%	5%
Total under 6.0	—	—	—	27%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	27%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	51%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	25%
Casey Mize Over 3.5 Strikeouts	2%	—	—	47%
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	—
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	23%
Total under 7.5	—	—	100%	23%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits	22%	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits	22%	—	—	—
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	21%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5	—	—	100%	19%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits	18%	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	—	—
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5	1%	—	11%	24%
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	17%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	17%
Total under 3.5	—	—	—	15%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	100%	13%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	15%	10%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	23%	11%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5	—	—	8%	12%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	10%	10%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits	9%	—	—	—
Austin Hays Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	11%	9%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5	2%	—	0%	15%
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	8%	9%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	8%
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	9%	5%
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	7%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	7%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits	7%	—	—	—
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	7%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits	6%	—	—	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	6%
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	10%	5%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits	5%	—	—	—
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	4%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	—
San Diego Padres	1%	3%	100%	4%
Casey Mize Over 1.5 Strikeouts	3%	—	—	—
Casey Mize Over 4.5 Earned Runs	3%	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits	3%	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	1%	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits	2%	—	—	—
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	2%	—
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	2%	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	1%	—
Casey Mize Over 2.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Casey Mize Over 3.5 Earned Runs	1%	—	—	—
Shane McClanahan Over 3.5 Earned Runs	1%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits	1%	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	1%	—
Shane McClanahan Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits	0%	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits	0%	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	—
Shane McClanahan Over 0.5 Earned Runs	0%	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If San Diego wins the San Diego vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Diego vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 28 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; San Diego Padres: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 98.6¢ implies about a 98.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

Matic Hribar vs. Vaal Urankar

KUUSAMO.gg vs. INFURITY Gaming

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Related Markets

Matic Hribar vs. Vaal Urankar

KUUSAMO.gg vs. INFURITY Gaming

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

eunchae Kim vs. Alexandra Biot

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

Matic Hribar vs. Vaal Urankar

KUUSAMO.gg vs. INFURITY Gaming

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Related Markets

Matic Hribar vs. Vaal Urankar

KUUSAMO.gg vs. INFURITY Gaming

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott

North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

eunchae Kim vs. Alexandra Biot