About This Market
San Francisco Giants vs.
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox (3:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox (3:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Boston Red Sox was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
San Francisco Giants vs.
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox (3:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jake Bennett Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Jake Bennett Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 0.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Bennett Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jake Bennett Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jake Bennett Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jake Bennett Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 8.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Nick Sogard Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Victor Bericoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Boston Red SoxWINNER | 99% | 98% | 95% | 96% |
Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 94% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 95% |
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Eli White Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Connor Wong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 98% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 98% |
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 97% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 98% | 87% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 91% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Willy Adames Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 94% |
Willson Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 89% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 83% | 92% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 95% | 80% |
Jahmai Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 89% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 86% |
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 85% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Victor Bericoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 94% | 60% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 86% | — | — | 64% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 84% | 66% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 73% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 66% |
Victor Bericoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Victor Bericoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Jahmai Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jahmai Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Connor Wong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Eli White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Willy Adames Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Andrew Knizner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 60% |
Connor Wong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 59% |
Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 59% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 52% | — | — | 64% |
Andruw Monasterio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Victor Bericoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Matt Wilkinson Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 52% | 57% |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | — | — | 55% |
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 64% |
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 55% |
Jake Bennett Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 51% |
Matt Wilkinson Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 51% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 48% | 54% |
Andrew Knizner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 50% |
Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jake Bennett Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 50% |
Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 50% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Willy Adames Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 50% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Willson Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Wilyer Abreu Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Victor Bericoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 46% |
Eli White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 45% |
Jahmai Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 44% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 43% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Jahmai Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 39% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 36% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 61% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 30% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 16% | 42% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 6% | 51% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | 28% | — | — | — |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 28% | — |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 1% | 22% |
Victor Bericoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Willy Adames Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 18% |
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 17% | 19% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 26% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 15% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 10% |
Willy Adames Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 17% |
Jahmai Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Willson Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 9% |
Adley Rutschman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 13% | 13% |
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 13% | 12% |
Victor Bericoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 20% | 12% |
Boston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Andruw Monasterio Over 0.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | — | 13% |
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Nick Sogard Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 10% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 18% |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 14% | 6% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 9% |
Caleb Durbin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 9% | 9% |
Connor Wong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 12% |
Eli White Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 11% |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 7% | 11% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 9% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 9% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 3% | 4% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 2% | — |
Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Jake Bennett Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jake Bennett Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jake Bennett Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Caleb Durbin Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jake Bennett Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Jake Bennett Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Matt Wilkinson Under 0.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Matt Wilkinson Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Willy Adames Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jake Bennett Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jake Bennett Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Matt Wilkinson Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Adley Rutschman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Boston Red Sox
96.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Boston wins the San Francisco vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 3:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Francisco vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 3:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the San Francisco Giants vs Boston Red Sox MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 3:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Boston Red Sox: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.3¢ on ProphetX, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Boston Red Sox at 96.9¢ implies about a 96.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.