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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-05

This market resolved on 2026-09-05. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Zac Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	99%	—
Zac Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	99%	—
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Zac Thornton Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	97%	—
Zac Thornton Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	97%	—
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	96%	—
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	96%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	93%
San Francisco GiantsWINNER	99%	40%	100%	91%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	87%	96%
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	89%	92%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	88%	92%
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	89%	90%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	89%	—
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	97%	81%
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	89%	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	89%	—
Andrew Knizner Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	89%	—
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	86%	89%
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	97%	76%
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	85%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	84%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5	—	—	99%	70%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	84%
Total over 7.5	99%	—	100%	80%
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	78%	80%
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	75%
Total over 6.5	99%	—	—	74%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5	—	—	0%	73%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5	—	—	87%	58%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits	72%	—	—	—
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	80%	62%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	69%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits	69%	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits	68%	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits	66%	—	—	—
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	66%	—	99%	—
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	75%	57%
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits	63%	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	75%	—	50%	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	75%	—	50%	—
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	63%	—	50%	62%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	62%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	74%	—	50%	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	74%	—	50%	—
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	62%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	62%
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	59%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	59%	—	50%	60%
Total over 8.5	45%	—	100%	70%
Zac Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	53%	61%
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	60%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	55%	—	50%	56%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	60%
Total under 8.5	—	—	0%	54%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	58%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	58%
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	1%	54%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	54%	—	50%	56%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	54%	—	50%	54%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs	0%	—	97%	10%
New York Mets	2%	61%	0%	53%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	53%	—	52%	53%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	52%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	52%
Anthony Molina Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	53%	51%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	51%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	51%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	48%	52%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	49%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	48%	—	50%	50%
Total under 9.5	—	—	0%	50%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	49%
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	48%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	48%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	48%
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	47%	—	50%	48%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	48%	—	99%	49%
Total over 9.5	36%	—	100%	60%
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%	45%
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	50%	47%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	47%	—	50%	47%
Anthony Molina Over 3.5 Strikeouts	43%	—	47%	47%
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs	4%	—	89%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	89%	—
Zac Thornton Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	47%	45%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	89%	—
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	50%	41%
Anthony Molina Over 1.5 Strikeouts	87%	—	3%	—
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	44%	—	24%	46%
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	50%	—
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	50%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	50%	—
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	50%	—
New York Mets spread minus 1.5	42%	—	13%	43%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	41%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	40%
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	42%	—	3%	39%
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	50%	—
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	50%	—
Anthony Molina Over 2.5 Strikeouts	69%	—	3%	—
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	36%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5	—	—	0%	36%
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	50%	—
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	32%
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	50%	—
Bo Bichette Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	50%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	50%	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits	31%	—	—	—
New York Mets spread minus 2.5	31%	—	1%	33%
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	31%	—	99%	—
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	29%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5	28%	—	100%	29%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits	28%	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits	25%	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits	25%	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs	23%	—	22%	23%
Total under 7.5	—	—	0%	23%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits	22%	—	—	—
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5	20%	—	100%	22%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs	18%	—	18%	19%
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs	18%	—	3%	21%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	18%
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	13%	—
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs	17%	—	15%	18%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	0%	—	16%	17%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs	14%	—	14%	14%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	13%	—	14%	16%
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Home Runs	13%	—	12%	15%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs	12%	—	13%	13%
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs	12%	—	—	13%
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs	12%	—	11%	13%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs	11%	—	12%	12%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs	10%	—	12%	11%
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Andrew Knizner Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	3%	—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs	0%	—	1%	10%
Carson Benge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	7%	—
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	9%	8%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs	9%	—	—	7%
Bo Bichette Over 2.5 Hits	8%	—	—	—
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	3%	—
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs	5%	—	—	7%
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits	6%	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits	5%	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 6.5 Strikeouts	4%	—	99%	—
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits	4%	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 3.5 Hits	3%	—	—	—
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	0%	—
Zac Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	3%	—
Zac Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	3%	—
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	2%	—
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits	2%	—	—	—
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	1%	—
Zac Thornton Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	1%	—
Zac Thornton Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	1%	—
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits	0%	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 2.5 Hits	0%	—	—	—
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 0.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 1.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 2.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 3.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 4.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Anthony Molina Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
New York Mets spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 3.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 0.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Earned Runs	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—
Zach Thornton Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Francisco vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and New York Mets, scheduled for September 5 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-05 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are San Francisco Giants: 98.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on ProphetX, 39.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Mets: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 53.1¢ on ProphetX, 60.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 60.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, San Francisco Giants at 82.3¢ implies about a 82.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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