About This Market
San Francisco Giants vs.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-02
This market resolved on 2026-09-02. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
San Francisco Giants vs.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Landen Roupp Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 100% | — |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Landen Roupp Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 98% |
Jared Jones Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 97% | — |
Jared Jones Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 97% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 96% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 93% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 92% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
Jared Jones Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 91% | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 90% |
Jared Jones Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 83% | — | 97% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 92% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 87% |
Jared Jones Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 74% | — | 97% | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 81% | 89% |
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 84% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 78% | 90% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 71% | 93% |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 82% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jared Jones Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 80% | — |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Shay Whitcomb Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 71% | 82% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 76% |
Landen Roupp Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 74% | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 64% | 83% |
San Francisco GiantsWINNER | 99% | 55% | 72% | 91% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 71% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 67% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jared Jones Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 63% | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 63% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 62% | — | 3% | 67% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Landen Roupp Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 59% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 54% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 50% | 57% |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 39% | 65% |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 61% | 43% |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 50% | 46% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 48% |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Landen Roupp Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 100% | 46% |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 1% | 46% | 49% | 26% |
Jared Jones Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 45% | — | — | 45% |
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Landen Roupp Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 42% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Landen Roupp Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | 74% | — |
Jared Jones Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 38% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 33% |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 36% | 20% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 22% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 20% |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Total Bases | 24% | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 23% |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | 21% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 19% | 21% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 22% | 17% |
Jared Jones Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 30% | — | 9% | — |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 18% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 5.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 19% | 15% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 15% | 17% |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases | 15% | — | — | — |
Landen Roupp Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 14% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 14% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 12% | 10% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | 11% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases | 11% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 0% | 16% |
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 10% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Jared Jones Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 16% | — | 3% | — |
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 9% |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Total Bases | 9% | — | — | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 8% |
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases | 7% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 7% |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Nate Furman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 3% | — |
Nate Furman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 3% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Landen Roupp Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 2% | — |
Landen Roupp Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 2% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Landen Roupp Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Landen Roupp Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Landen Roupp Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jared Jones Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 0% | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants
79.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 2 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-02 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are San Francisco Giants: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 71.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.1¢ on ProphetX, 54.5¢ on Polymarket US; Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket, 26.4¢ on ProphetX, 45.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, San Francisco Giants at 79.0¢ implies about a 79.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.