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Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-02

This market resolved on 2026-09-02. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.

About This Market

San Francisco Giants vs.

San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-02. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jake Mangum Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Landen Roupp Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——100%—
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Landen Roupp Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases
99%———
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5
———98%
Jared Jones Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——97%—
Jared Jones Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——97%—
Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%96%
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%93%
Total under 10.5
———93%
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%92%
Total over 3.5
99%——92%
Jared Jones Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——91%—
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5
———91%
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%90%
Jared Jones Over 2.5 Strikeouts
83%—97%—
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%92%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5
———88%
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%87%
Jared Jones Over 3.5 Strikeouts
74%—97%—
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5
——81%89%
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%84%
Total under 9.5
——78%90%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5
——71%93%
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%82%
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jared Jones Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——80%—
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Shay Whitcomb Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5
——71%82%
Total over 4.5
99%——76%
Landen Roupp Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——74%—
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5
——64%83%
San Francisco GiantsWINNER
99%55%72%91%
Total over 7.0
———71%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0
———67%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Jared Jones Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
63%———
Total over 5.5
99%——63%
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——62%
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Jared Jones Over 4.5 Strikeouts
62%—3%67%
Jacob Gonzalez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——60%
Total over 8.0
———60%
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Landen Roupp Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%59%
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——55%
Total over 6.5
99%——54%
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——54%
Total over 7.5
99%—50%57%
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Drew Gilbert Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total under 9.0
———52%
Total over 8.5
99%—39%65%
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Total under 8.5
——61%43%
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0
———51%
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Home Runs
——51%—
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0
———51%
Total over 9.0
———50%
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Drew Gilbert Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Jacob Gonzalez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Total under 7.5
——50%46%
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Total under 6.5
———48%
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Landen Roupp Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——100%46%
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Pittsburgh Pirates
1%46%49%26%
Jared Jones Over 5.5 Strikeouts
45%——45%
Drew Cavanaugh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Total under 8.0
———42%
Landen Roupp Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%——42%
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Landen Roupp Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%—74%—
Jared Jones Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%38%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0
———35%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 RBIs
34%———
Total under 7.0
———33%
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs
31%———
Total over 11.5
1%——29%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5
1%—36%20%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5
1%—29%22%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5
1%—29%20%
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Total Bases
24%———
Total over 12.5
1%——23%
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits
21%———
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—19%21%
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—20%—
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Total over 9.5
1%—22%17%
Jared Jones Over 6.5 Strikeouts
30%—9%—
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs
———18%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5
1%——17%
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Total Bases
17%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Total Bases
17%———
Rafael Devers Over 5.5 Total Bases
17%———
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5
1%—19%15%
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%—15%17%
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases
15%———
Landen Roupp Over 8.5 Strikeouts
14%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs
14%———
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%14%
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5
———14%
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
Total over 10.5
1%——12%
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—12%10%
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits
11%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits
11%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits
11%———
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases
11%———
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—0%16%
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%10%
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 RBIs
10%———
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 RBIs
10%———
Jared Jones Over 7.5 Strikeouts
16%—3%—
Drew Cavanaugh Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%9%
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Total Bases
9%———
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%8%
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases
7%———
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5
1%——7%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Total Bases
5%———
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases
5%———
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Nate Furman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Nate Furman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Landen Roupp Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—2%—
Landen Roupp Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——2%—
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Landen Roupp Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Landen Roupp Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—0%—
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Landen Roupp Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jared Jones Over 8.5 Strikeouts
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread48.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

San Francisco Giants

79.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 2 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-02 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are San Francisco Giants: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 71.5¢ on Polymarket, 91.1¢ on ProphetX, 54.5¢ on Polymarket US; Pittsburgh Pirates: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 49.0¢ on Polymarket, 26.4¢ on ProphetX, 45.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 48.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, San Francisco Giants at 79.0¢ implies about a 79.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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