Kalshi

4.9

Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. San Francisco Giants was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 86%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alec Burleson Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alec Burleson Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Andrew Knizner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	99%	—
Andrew Knizner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	99%	—
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Nathan Church Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Osleivis Basabe Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	91%	—
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	91%	—
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	89%
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	96%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	88%
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	95%
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	94%
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	92%
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	84%	89%
Bryce Eldridge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	91%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5	—	—	80%	92%	86%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	85%
Total under 8.5	—	—	91%	0%	80%
Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	95%	71%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	99%	82%
Anthony Molina Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	—
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	—
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	82%
Anthony Molina Over 1.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	81%	—
Bryan Torres Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Andrew Knizner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Andrew Knizner Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryan Torres Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryan Torres Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryan Torres Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Bryce Eldridge Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ivan Herrera Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ivan Herrera Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ivan Herrera Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Jonah Cox Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Jonah Cox Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Jordan Walker Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Nathan Church Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Nathan Church Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Osleivis Basabe Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Osleivis Basabe Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Osleivis Basabe Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Osleivis Basabe Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Turner Hill Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Turner Hill Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Turner Hill Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	—	80%
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	80%	—
Scott Bandura Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	79%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	78%
Brett Harris Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	73%
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	91%	61%
Total over 5.5	100%	—	—	100%	74%
Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	67%
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	66%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	72%
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	63%
Total under 6.5	—	—	70%	0%	74%
Matthew Liberatore Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	61%
Leo Bernal Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	60%
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	95%	46%
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	55%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	0%	68%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	0%	67%
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	52%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5	—	—	63%	99%	70%
Anthony Molina Over 3.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	81%	51%
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	51%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5	—	—	68%	65%	66%
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	50%
Alec Burleson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	65%
Thomas Saggese Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	48%
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	47%
Shay Whitcomb Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	47%
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	99%	63%
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	43%
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Matthew Liberatore Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	81%	41%
Bryan Torres Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	59%
San Francisco GiantsWINNER	100%	37%	57%	100%	86%
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	54%	—	—	19%	58%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	54%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	52%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Total over 4.5	99%	—	50%	—	52%
Total under 4.5	—	—	50%	—	52%
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	51%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	49%
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	77%	—	—	19%	—
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Brett Harris Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	71%
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	67%
St. Louis Cardinals	1%	63%	43%	0%	23%
Matthew Liberatore Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	19%	66%
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	62%
Thomas Saggese Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	60%
Jonah Cox Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	55%
Anthony Molina Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	19%	52%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	—	100%	35%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5	1%	—	32%	35%	70%
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	19%	43%
Bryan Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	50%
Leo Bernal Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	50%
Total over 6.5	99%	—	30%	100%	37%
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	47%
Total over 7.5	99%	—	—	100%	32%
Matthew Liberatore Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	18%	44%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5	2%	—	37%	1%	29%
Scott Bandura Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	29%	—	—	19%	40%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	0%	29%
Total over 8.5	100%	—	10%	100%	48%
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	1%	44%
Jordan Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	—	19%	—
Ivan Herrera Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	19%	—
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	19%	56%
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	1%	22%
Jordan Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	19%	—
Bryce Eldridge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	—	19%	—
Alec Burleson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	19%	—
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs	22%	—	—	19%	10%
Andrew Knizner Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Andrew Knizner Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Andrew Knizner Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Bryan Torres Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Bryan Torres Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Bryan Torres Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	19%	48%
Bryce Eldridge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	19%	—
Bryce Eldridge Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Ivan Herrera Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Jonah Cox Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Jonah Cox Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Jonah Cox Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Jonah Cox Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Jonah Cox Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs	8%	—	—	19%	20%
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Osleivis Basabe Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Osleivis Basabe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Osleivis Basabe Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Turner Hill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	19%	—
Turner Hill Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Anthony Molina Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	19%	—
Anthony Molina Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	19%	—
Anthony Molina Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	19%	—
Bryan Torres Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Matthew Liberatore Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	19%	—
Matthew Liberatore Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	19%	—
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	18%
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	19%	18%
Leo Bernal Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	16%
Nathan Church Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	19%	—
Nolan Gorman Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	19%	17%
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	18%	16%
Ivan Herrera Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	—	—	19%	—
San Francisco Giants spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	15%
Jonah Cox Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	10%
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	10%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5	5%	—	21%	8%	23%
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	19%	14%
Turner Hill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	19%	—
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	8%
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs	11%	—	—	95%	13%
Nathan Church Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	—	19%	—
Thomas Saggese Over 0.5 Home Runs	7%	—	—	19%	—
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	19%	—
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	19%	—
Brett Harris Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	1%	10%
Scott Bandura Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	18%	—
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	19%	9%
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Home Runs	8%	—	—	100%	—
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs	6%	—	—	7%	—
Ivan Herrera Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	5%	—
Jonah Cox Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	5%	—
Alec Burleson Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Andrew Knizner Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Andrew Knizner Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Bryan Torres Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	1%	—
Anthony Molina Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	99%	—
Matthew Liberatore Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	99%	—
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If San Francisco wins the San Francisco vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 1:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the San Francisco vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 1:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

San Francisco Giants in San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for September 16 at 1:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 1:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are San Francisco Giants: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 85.5¢ on ProphetX, 37.0¢ on Polymarket US, 57.0¢ on Novig; St. Louis Cardinals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 23.4¢ on ProphetX, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US, 43.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 62.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, San Francisco Giants at 75.8¢ implies about a 75.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET)

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

Grêmio vs. Remo

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC

Colgate Raiders vs. Harvard Crimson

Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Related Markets

Grêmio vs. Remo

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC

Colgate Raiders vs. Harvard Crimson

Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Matic Dimic vs. Timofei Derepasko

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET)

San Francisco Giants Wins: San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals (1:15 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Markets

Grêmio vs. Remo

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC

Colgate Raiders vs. Harvard Crimson

Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Related Markets

Grêmio vs. Remo

FC Dallas vs. Charlotte FC

Colgate Raiders vs. Harvard Crimson

Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Matic Dimic vs. Timofei Derepasko