About This Market
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-12
This market resolved on 2026-09-12. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 93% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 91% | 100% | 92% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | 91% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | — | 100% | 88% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 82% | 93% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — | 74% | 97% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 84% |
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 83% |
Seattle MarinersWINNER | 99% | 60% | 99% | 100% | 96% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 77% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 75% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 51% | 100% | 94% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 69% |
Total over 13.5 | 99% | — | 91% | — | 41% |
Dominic Canzone Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 65% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 64% |
Carlos Cortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Jonah Heim Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 63% |
Total over 10.5 | 100% | — | — | 42% | 83% |
Donovan Walton Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 62% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Alika Williams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 61% |
Bryan Woo Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Randy Arozarena Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 60% |
Tommy White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 55% |
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Gage Jump Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | 55% |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 54% |
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 53% |
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 52% |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Tommy White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 50% | 51% | 10% |
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 49% |
Athletics spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 48% |
Carlos Cortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | — | 46% |
Dominic Canzone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 45% |
Donovan Walton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 44% |
Alika Williams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 58% | 21% |
Athletics spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — | 61% | 16% |
Athletics spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 32% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | — | 32% |
Athletics spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | — | 28% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — | 40% | 14% |
Athletics | 1% | 41% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Athletics spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | 23% |
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 20% |
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 18% |
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 18% |
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 16% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 16% |
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | 14% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 11% |
Athletics spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — | 0% | 11% |
Athletics spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 10% | 0% | 12% |
Athletics spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | — | 1% | 7% |
A's wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 4.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Woo Over 9.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 5.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 6.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 0.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 1.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 2.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 3.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 4.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 5.5 Earned Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Gage Jump Over 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 5.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners
90.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf A's wins the Seattle vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigAthletics in Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics (MLB); settled by Novig.
If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Athletics, scheduled for September 12 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Athletics MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-12 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Seattle Mariners: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.2¢ on ProphetX, 59.5¢ on Polymarket US, 99.0¢ on Novig; Athletics: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 5.4¢ on ProphetX, 40.5¢ on Polymarket US, 1.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 40.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Seattle Mariners at 90.7¢ implies about a 90.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.