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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-15

This market resolved on 2026-09-15. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 58%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—	—
Logan Gilbert Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	99%	—
Ryan Johnson Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	97%	—
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	97%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%	—
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	95%	—
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	95%	—
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	95%	—
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	95%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%	—
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	95%	—
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	92%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	92%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	90%
Wade Meckler Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	96%
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	94%
Zach Neto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	95%
Vaughn Grissom Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	94%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	93%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	84%	90%
Logan Gilbert Over 4.5 Strikeouts	91%	—	—	82%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	76%	93%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	85%
Mike Trout Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	85%
Ryan Johnson Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	82%	—
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5	—	—	82%	77%	83%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Cole Young Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Cole Young Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Josh Naylor Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Josh Naylor Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Mike Trout Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Mike Trout Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Mike Trout Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Mike Trout Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Wade Meckler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Wade Meckler Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Wade Meckler Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Wade Meckler Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Wade Meckler Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Zach Neto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Zach Neto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Zach Neto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Zach Neto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Adam Frazier Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	78%
Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	95%	59%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	63%	89%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	76%
Adam Frazier Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	74%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	74%
Ryan Johnson Over 3.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	82%	65%
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	35%	—	—	95%	50%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	65%	81%
Mike Trout Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	59%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	58%
Zach Neto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	57%
Ryan Johnson Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	97%	41%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	56%
Lazaro Montes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	67%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	52%
Denzer Guzman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	66%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	52%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	51%
Moises Ballesteros Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Vaughn Grissom Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	49%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
Wade Meckler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	47%
Christian Moore Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	47%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	60%
Josh Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Seattle MarinersWINNER	1%	57%	61%	99%	58%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—	57%
Total over 3.5	1%	—	71%	—	41%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	56%
Total under 8.5	—	—	55%	52%	90%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	54%	54%	18%
Total over 4.5	1%	—	53%	—	54%
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	95%	—
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	53%	—	—	19%	58%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	52%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.5	—	—	52%	51%	64%
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	95%	—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	95%	52%
Wade Meckler Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	95%	7%
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	82%	19%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	82%	19%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5	1%	—	48%	49%	39%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	48%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	82%	13%
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Josh Lowe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
Total under 7.5	—	—	46%	46%	87%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	87%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	76%	15%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	46%	—	—	19%	52%
Logan Gilbert Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	44%	45%
Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts	30%	—	—	44%	69%
Denzer Guzman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Lazaro Montes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	44%
Los Angeles Angels	99%	43%	40%	47%	45%
Wade Meckler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	65%
Moises Ballesteros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	42%
Christian Moore Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	64%
Vaughn Grissom Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	62%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	54%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	51%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	51%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	47%	—	—	19%	—
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	32%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5	4%	—	—	36%	30%
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	19%	—
Total over 6.5	1%	—	—	—	29%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	29%	—	—	19%	57%
Logan Gilbert Over 5.5 Strikeouts	51%	—	—	6%	—
Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 Strikeouts	27%	—	—	1%	—
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	36%	16%
Ryan Johnson Over 4.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	3%	48%
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	19%	—
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.5	2%	—	19%	31%	22%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Cole Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Josh Naylor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Josh Naylor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Josh Naylor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Mike Trout Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	19%	—
Mike Trout Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Wade Meckler Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Wade Meckler Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Wade Meckler Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Wade Meckler Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Zach Neto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	—	19%	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs	33%	—	—	19%	17%
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	—	—	19%	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	19%	—
Lazaro Montes Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	17%
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	12%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	11%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	44%	—	—	19%	10%
Christian Moore Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	10%
Vaughn Grissom Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	10%
Zach Neto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	19%	—
Total over 8.5	1%	—	46%	13%	14%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	14%	13%
Josh Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	13%
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	—	19%	—
Mike Trout Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	—	19%	—
Zach Neto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	6%	—	—	19%	—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	12%
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	—	19%	—
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	—	19%	—
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	12%
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	—	19%	—
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	—	19%	—
Moises Ballesteros Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	11%
Denzer Guzman Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	—
Mike Trout Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	—
Zach Neto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	—
Los Angeles A wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Ryan Johnson Over 6.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	1%	—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Los Angeles A wins the Seattle vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Seattle vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Los Angeles Angels in Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for September 15 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-15 at 9:38PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 58.1¢ on ProphetX, 57.0¢ on Polymarket US, 60.5¢ on Novig; Los Angeles Angels: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.5¢ on Polymarket, 44.5¢ on ProphetX, 43.0¢ on Polymarket US, 39.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Seattle Mariners at 68.7¢ implies about a 68.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

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