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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-16

This market resolved on 2026-09-16. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Christian Moore Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	—
George Kirby Over 3.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	100%	—
George Kirby Over 4.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	100%	—
Yusei Kikuchi Over 3.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	100%	—
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—
Zach Neto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	—
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	96%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Christian Moore Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	—
Christian Moore Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Christian Moore Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Christian Moore Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Josh Naylor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Josh Naylor Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Josh Naylor Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	95%	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	95%	—
Moises Ballesteros Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Moises Ballesteros Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Moises Ballesteros Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Moises Ballesteros Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Randy Arozarena Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Vaughn Grissom Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Wade Meckler Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	—
Zach Neto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	83%	98%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	97%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5	100%	81%	89%	96%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5	100%	58%	96%	89%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5	—	—	0%	87%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	88%
Yusei Kikuchi Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	82%	—
Total over 7.5	99%	72%	100%	92%
Christian Moore Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	63%
Moises Ballesteros Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	63%
Michael Arroyo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	79%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5	—	—	99%	77%
Jose Siri Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	76%
Total over 8.5	99%	54%	100%	98%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	56%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	55%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	55%
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	94%	—	—	55%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	53%
Zach Neto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	53%
Vaughn Grissom Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	52%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	51%
Wade Meckler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	51%
Jose Siri Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	69%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	69%
Christian Moore Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	95%	41%
Yusei Kikuchi Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	82%	52%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	66%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5	—	47%	—	86%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	65%
Total under 11.5	—	35%	—	95%
Josh Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Denzer Guzman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Total over 9.5	1%	61%	100%	58%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	57%
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	57%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Moises Ballesteros Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	14%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	53%
Zach Neto Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	95%	11%
Vaughn Grissom Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	10%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	10%
Zach Neto Over 1.5 Home Runs	10%	—	95%	—
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	94%	10%
Mike Trout Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	98%
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	100%	—	—	51%
Yusei Kikuchi Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	99%	51%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	95%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	95%	—
George Kirby Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	44%	55%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	49%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 4.5	—	54%	—	44%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	48%
Denzer Guzman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Total under 9.5	—	40%	78%	47%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	52%
Josh Lowe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
George Kirby Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	44%	47%
Michael Arroyo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Total over 11.5	1%	65%	—	11%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	37%
Christian Moore Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	68%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	36%
Wade Meckler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	59%
Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	0%	54%
Vaughn Grissom Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	56%
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	30%	—	0%	—
Mike Trout Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	54%
Total under 8.5	—	47%	100%	11%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	51%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	28%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	51%
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 1.5	1%	—	1%	26%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	25%
Christian Moore Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	46%
Moises Ballesteros Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	45%
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	23%	—	0%	—
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs	21%	—	95%	16%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs	21%	—	19%	23%
Total under 7.5	—	29%	100%	13%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 2.5	—	42%	4%	20%
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	0%	—
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	20%
Los Angeles Angels spread plus 1.5	—	19%	89%	14%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	19%
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs	10%	—	83%	18%
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	0%	—
Los Angeles Angels spread minus 2.5	1%	—	0%	17%
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	0%	—
Mike Trout Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	19%	—
Zach Neto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	1%	—
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	11%
Josh Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	10%
Christian Moore Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	10%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	10%
Denzer Guzman Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	9%
Mike Trout Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	0%	9%
Cal Raleigh Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	—
Christian Moore Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	—
Christian Moore Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Christian Moore Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	99%
Dominic Canzone Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Josh Naylor Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Josh Naylor Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Mike Trout Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Mike Trout Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Mike Trout Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Mike Trout Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Moises Ballesteros Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	—
Moises Ballesteros Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	—
Moises Ballesteros Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Moises Ballesteros Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Moises Ballesteros Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Vaughn Grissom Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Zach Neto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Zach Neto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Zach Neto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	5%	—
Mike Trout Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	4%	—	0%	—
George Kirby Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	1%	—
Yusei Kikuchi Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	1%	—
Yusei Kikuchi Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	1%	—
George Kirby Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Yusei Kikuchi Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—
Los Angeles A wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—
Los Angeles Angels	—	—	—	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—
Seattle MarinersWINNER	—	—	—	—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—
Yusei Kikuchi Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	99%	—
Yusei Kikuchi Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	99%	—
Yusei Kikuchi Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	99%	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Los Angeles A wins the Seattle vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Seattle vs Los Angeles A professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Los Angeles Angels in Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Angels (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for September 16 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-16 at 9:38PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels (9:38 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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