About This Market
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-19
This market resolved on 2026-08-19. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers (7:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Christian Yelich Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Andrew Vaughn Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brendan Donovan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Logan Gilbert Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
David Hamilton Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Joey Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Luis Lara Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Bauers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 96% |
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Seattle MarinersWINNER | 99% | 94% | 89% | 98% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 93% | 99% |
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 93% | 89% |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Jackson Chourio Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Christian Yelich Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 5.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 95% | 82% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Joey Ortiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 88% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Garrett Mitchell Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 95% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Christian Yelich Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 86% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 78% | 92% |
William Contreras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Dustin May Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Dustin May Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Logan Gilbert Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Brice Turang Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 87% | 74% |
Garrett Mitchell Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Luis Lara Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Total under 15.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 73% |
Logan Gilbert Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 51% | 93% |
Brendan Donovan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Dustin May Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 57% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 69% |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Garrett Mitchell Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Christian Yelich Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 66% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Brice Turang Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Joey Ortiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Joey Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 63% |
William Contreras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 32% | 93% |
Andrew Vaughn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 95% | 22% |
Cooper Pratt Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jake Bauers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total under 14.5 | — | — | — | 58% |
Brendan Donovan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
David Hamilton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Brendan Donovan Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Cooper Pratt Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jake Bauers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 8% |
Brendan Donovan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
David Hamilton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Andrew Vaughn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 51% | 47% |
Christian Yelich Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
William Contreras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Joey Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 14.5 | — | — | — | 47% |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Cooper Pratt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 45% |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 44% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 76% | 12% |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 44% |
Garrett Mitchell Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Garrett Mitchell Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 37% |
Luis Lara Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Total over 15.5 | — | — | — | 34% |
Dustin May Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | 45% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 31% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 100% | 31% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 50% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 18% | 32% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Garrett Mitchell Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Dustin May Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Dustin May Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 18% | — |
Logan Gilbert Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 18% | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 5.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 12% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 13% | 18% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 15% |
Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 18% | 8% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 4% | 22% |
Brice Turang Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 6% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 3.5 | 2% | — | — | 20% |
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 6% |
William Contreras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 6% |
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 11% | 8% |
Joey Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | 9% |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 10% | 6% |
David Hamilton Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Luis Lara Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 9% | 5% |
Christian Yelich Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 4% |
Milwaukee Brewers spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 6% |
Andrew Vaughn Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Brendan Donovan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Cooper Pratt Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Milwaukee Brewers | 1% | 6% | 0% | 4% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Dustin May Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Dustin May Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Dustin May Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Dustin May Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Dustin May Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Logan Gilbert Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Logan Gilbert Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Logan Gilbert Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Brice Turang Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Logan Gilbert Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
William Contreras Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
William Contreras Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Yelich Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jake Bauers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Logan Gilbert Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
Seattle Mariners
94.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Seattle wins the Seattle vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 19 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-19 at 7:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Seattle Mariners: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 88.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; Milwaukee Brewers: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 10.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Seattle Mariners at 94.9¢ implies about a 94.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.