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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-13

This market resolved on 2026-08-13. Seattle Mariners was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 90%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Logan Gilbert Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Max Fried Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	98%
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	97%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5	—	—	98%	92%
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	97%
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	91%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5	—	—	90%	94%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	91%
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	86%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Jhonny Pereda Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Jhonny Pereda Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	—
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	89%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	96%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	88%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	88%	90%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	87%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	87%
Total under 12.5	—	—	—	87%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	83%
Total under 5.5	—	—	88%	85%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	86%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	90%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	88%
Total under 8.5	—	—	95%	74%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	81%	85%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	82%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	80%	85%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	82%	81%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	100%	82%
Seattle MarinersWINNER	99%	81%	100%	82%
Max Fried Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	81%	—
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	81%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Total under 3.5	—	—	—	80%
Logan Gilbert Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	80%	—
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	80%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	79%	80%
Total under 7.5	—	—	86%	72%
Max Fried Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	55%	99%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	76%
Total under 9.5	—	—	78%	74%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	98%	—	—	51%
Max Fried Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	71%	—
Logan Gilbert Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	69%	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	66%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	66%
Total under 6.5	—	—	64%	67%
Jhonny Pereda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	65%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	63%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	62%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	61%
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	60%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	59%
Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	59%	58%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	58%
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	57%
Colt Emerson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	57%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	56%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	56%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	55%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	55%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	54%
Leo Rivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	53%
Leo Rivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	53%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	53%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	52%
Weston Wilson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	51%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Colt Emerson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	50%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	49%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	48%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	48%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	48%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	48%	—	—	45%
Max Fried Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	45%	46%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	—	53%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Jhonny Pereda Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	45%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	44%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	43%
Logan Gilbert Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	41%	43%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	36%	—	—	47%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	41%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	42%	—	—	41%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	—
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	30%	—	—	45%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	36%
Total over 6.5	1%	—	36%	36%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	50%
Logan Gilbert Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	31%	—
Max Fried Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	29%	—
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	28%
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	28%	—	—	—
Total over 9.5	1%	—	22%	32%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	14%	37%
Total over 4.5	1%	—	—	25%
New York Yankees	1%	19%	0%	31%
Total over 3.5	1%	—	—	24%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	23%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	21%	23%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5	1%	—	0%	22%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	21%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5	1%	—	20%	21%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	19%	22%
Logan Gilbert Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	20%	—
Total over 8.5	1%	—	5%	34%
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	19%	—	—	—
Max Fried Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	19%	—
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	—	—
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	18%	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	1%	—	—	17%
Total over 5.5	1%	—	12%	21%
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	16%	—	—	—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	15%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	15%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	20%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	1%	—	10%	17%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	17%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	13%
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	14%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	12%	17%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	13%
Total over 11.5	2%	—	—	20%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	17%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	11%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	10%
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	10%	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	—
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	—
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	10%	—
Jhonny Pereda Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	10%	—
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	10%	—
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	10%	—
Weston Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	—	10%
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	9%	—	—	—
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	15%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	5%	12%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	12%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	1%	—	2%	13%
Jhonny Pereda Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	10%	—
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	10%	—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	10%	—
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	10%	—
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	10%	—
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	10%	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	10%	—
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	9%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	—
Brendan Donovan Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	—
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—
Leo Rivas Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	—
Logan Gilbert Over 10.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Logan Gilbert Over 11.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Logan Gilbert Over 8.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Logan Gilbert Over 9.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Max Fried Over 10.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Max Fried Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Max Fried Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Max Fried Over 8.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Max Fried Over 9.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	1%	—	—	—
Ali Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Jose Caballero Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 13 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-13 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Seattle Mariners: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 81.6¢ on ProphetX, 81.0¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 31.2¢ on ProphetX, 19.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 31.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Seattle Mariners at 90.4¢ implies about a 90.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Seattle Mariners Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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