About This Market
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (7:00 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (7:00 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-12
This market resolved on 2026-08-12. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees (7:00 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-12. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brendan Donovan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 98% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 92% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 98% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Total over 4.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Total over 8.5 | — | — | 79% | 97% |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 92% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 77% | 98% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 78% | 95% |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Total over 7.5 | — | — | 78% | 89% |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Bryce Miller Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Colt Emerson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 77% |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Bryce Miller Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 52% | 98% |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | 75% |
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 74% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 62% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Brendan Donovan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Will Warren Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 69% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 46% | 92% |
Bryce Miller Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 68% | — |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Total over 9.5 | — | — | 54% | 79% |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 44% | 85% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 57% | 57% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 56% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 93% | 19% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 90% | 21% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
New York YankeesWINNER | 99% | 55% | 23% | 99% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | — | — | 10% | 91% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 47% |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total over 13.5 | — | — | — | 46% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | — | — | 7% | 85% |
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Seattle Mariners | 1% | 45% | 77% | 4% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 43% | 46% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Brendan Donovan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Bryce Miller Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 48% | 29% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | — | — | 56% | 18% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 46% | 24% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | — | — | 54% | 11% |
Colt Emerson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
Bryce Miller Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 32% | — |
Will Warren Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 31% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 28% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 28% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 39% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 22% | 21% |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 19% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 22% | 15% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Bryce Miller Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 21% | 15% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 14% |
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 17% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 23% | 10% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 21% | 10% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 18% | 6% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Brendan Donovan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Colt Emerson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Colt Emerson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Ryan McMahon Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Will Warren Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Colt Emerson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Colt Emerson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ryan McMahon Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
New York Yankees
68.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Seattle wins the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 12 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-12 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.7¢ on ProphetX, 55.0¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.0¢ on Polymarket, 4.1¢ on ProphetX, 45.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 76.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Yankees at 68.9¢ implies about a 68.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.