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Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-30

This market resolved on 2026-08-30. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Seattle Mariners vs.

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Logan Gilbert Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%97%
Over 2.5 runs scored
97%———
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Total under 8.5
——94%93%
Total under 9.5
——92%94%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
98%—100%88%
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs
——93%99%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—92%—
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—92%—
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%88%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER
99%92%100%99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%90%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Logan Gilbert Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——88%—
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
86%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——85%99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——93%75%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———84%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
99%—100%82%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
99%——81%
Total under 11.5
———81%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Logan Gilbert Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——80%—
Total under 7.5
——99%79%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———79%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——64%88%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
99%——75%
Logan Gilbert Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—75%—
Max Scherzer Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——74%—
Total over 6.5
99%——73%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———73%
Logan Gilbert Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——70%65%
Total under 10.5
———67%
Total over 5.5
99%——66%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——65%
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%65%
Total under 8.0
———64%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——62%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
55%——64%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———59%
Logan Gilbert Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—58%60%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%58%
Total under 4.5
———57%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——53%—
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——53%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——48%
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%48%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Total over 4.5
99%——47%
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——47%—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0
———46%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Logan Gilbert Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——43%42%
Brock Rodden Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——42%
Total over 8.0
———41%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%——43%
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%——44%
Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%38%
Total under 5.5
———38%
Total over 10.5
1%——36%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%——49%
Logan Gilbert Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—31%42%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%——52%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%——48%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%——54%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%——55%
Total over 7.5
1%—1%32%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0
———32%
Total under 6.5
———32%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5
———30%
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%—26%—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5
1%—36%15%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5
1%——24%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5
——0%23%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5
———23%
Total over 11.5
1%——23%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5
——0%21%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5
———19%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5
1%—7%29%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——17%
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—16%14%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits
14%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—16%10%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%6%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits
12%———
Logan Gilbert Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—12%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%12%
Total over 8.5
1%—6%17%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—12%11%
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
11%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits
11%———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits
11%———
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
13%——9%
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Total over 9.5
1%—8%10%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—14%4%
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%—14%9%
Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 Strikeouts
5%—13%—
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%4%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%13%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—11%5%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—11%5%
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——10%
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
6%———
Seattle Mariners
1%8%0%3%
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
5%———
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——5%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——5%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—8%4%
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%———
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%———
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
4%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
4%———
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
3%———
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits
2%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
2%———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits
2%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—2%—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Logan Gilbert Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Logan Gilbert Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Max Scherzer Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Max Scherzer Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Max Scherzer Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread7.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Toronto Blue Jays

97.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Seattle wins the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:37 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 1:37 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 30 at 1:37PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-30 at 1:37PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 92.0¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 8.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 7.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (1:37 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 97.5¢ implies about a 97.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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