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Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29

This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Seattle Mariners vs.

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%99%
Jose Soriano Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Jose Soriano Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Total Bases
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Total Bases
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Total Bases
99%———
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Jose Soriano Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Jose Soriano Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs
——100%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%99%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5
———92%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5
——91%92%
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——91%99%
Total under 7.5
——95%83%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%89%
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5
———87%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5
——94%80%
Total over 5.5
99%——85%
Total under 10.5
———83%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———82%
Total over 4.5
83%——79%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——80%81%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——64%92%
Total under 8.5
——82%74%
Total under 9.5
———77%
Total over 6.5
99%—100%75%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———75%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
71%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
70%———
Kade Anderson Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——82%57%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
69%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———69%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——68%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——67%
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER
99%37%100%94%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——65%
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
60%——62%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——61%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Jose Soriano Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%60%
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——58%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0
———56%
Total under 8.0
———56%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total under 7.0
———53%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——52%
Total over 7.0
———52%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
51%——53%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——52%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
49%——51%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———50%
Total over 8.0
———50%
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Total Bases
50%———
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——50%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
48%——49%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——48%
Kade Anderson Over 4.5 Strikeouts
———47%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——47%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%——46%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Jose Soriano Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%43%
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——42%
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%——41%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits
36%———
Seattle Mariners
1%63%0%8%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5
1%——35%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Total Bases
33%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
32%———
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 RBIs
31%———
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0
———30%
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 RBIs
30%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases
29%———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
29%———
Total under 6.5
——0%29%
Total over 9.5
1%——27%
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
26%———
Total under 4.5
———25%
Cole Young Over 0.5 RBIs
25%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits
25%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits
25%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 RBIs
25%———
Total over 8.5
1%—18%29%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5
1%—36%11%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%22%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5
———22%
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Total Bases
22%———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits
22%———
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5
1%—20%23%
Total over 10.5
1%——21%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits
21%———
Total under 5.5
———19%
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Total Bases
19%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——17%
Cole Young Over 2.5 Total Bases
17%———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Total Bases
17%———
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
16%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Total Bases
15%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
1%—6%23%
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Total over 7.5
1%—5%21%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———13%
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Total Bases
12%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 RBIs
11%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—9%12%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
15%——5%
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
9%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%4%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 RBIs
8%———
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Home Runs
9%——6%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%—9%7%
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
7%———
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
7%——6%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—5%8%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
8%—5%6%
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Total Bases
6%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——6%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—11%6%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——6%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——7%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—13%5%
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Total Bases
5%———
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——6%
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Cole Young Over 4.5 Total Bases
4%———
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——6%
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——5%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——4%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——5%
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
4%—2%—
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits
2%———
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Jose Soriano Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jose Soriano Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jose Soriano Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Jose Soriano Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Over 11.5 runs scored
1%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—0%—
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—0%—
Jose Soriano Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Jose Soriano Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Cole Young Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Cole Young Over 3.5 Total Bases
0%———
Jose Soriano Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—
Jose Soriano Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread62.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Toronto Blue Jays

82.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 29 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 3:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.2¢ on ProphetX, 37.0¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 8.2¢ on ProphetX, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 62.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 82.5¢ implies about a 82.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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