About This Market
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-29
This market resolved on 2026-08-29. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Seattle Mariners vs.
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (3:07 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Jose Soriano Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Jose Soriano Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jose Soriano Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 91% | 92% |
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 95% | 83% |
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 89% |
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 94% | 80% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 85% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Total over 4.5 | 83% | — | — | 79% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 80% | 81% |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 64% | 92% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 82% | 74% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 75% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 75% |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 71% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 70% | — | — | — |
Kade Anderson Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | 57% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 69% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 69% |
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 68% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 67% |
J.P. Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER | 99% | 37% | 100% | 94% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 65% |
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Cal Raleigh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 60% | — | — | 62% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jose Soriano Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 60% |
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 58% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 53% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 51% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Total Bases | 50% | — | — | — |
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 50% |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 49% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 48% |
Kade Anderson Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 47% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 47% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 46% |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Jose Soriano Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 43% |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 42% |
J.P. Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | 41% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits | 36% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners | 1% | 63% | 0% | 8% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 35% |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Total Bases | 33% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 30% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Total Bases | 29% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 0% | 29% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 27% |
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 RBIs | 25% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 18% | 29% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 36% | 11% |
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 22% |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 22% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Total Bases | 22% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 20% | 23% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits | 21% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Cole Young Over 2.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Total Bases | 17% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Total Bases | 15% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 6% | 23% |
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 21% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 9% | 12% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 15% | — | — | 5% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 4% |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | — | 6% |
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 9% | 7% |
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | — | 6% |
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 5% | 8% |
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 5% | 6% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 11% | 6% |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 7% |
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 13% | 5% |
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — |
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 6% |
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 4.5 Total Bases | 4% | — | — | — |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 6% |
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 5% |
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 4% |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 5% |
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 2% | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Jose Soriano Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
Jose Soriano Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Jose Soriano Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Cole Young Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Cole Young Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Jose Soriano Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays
82.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026 at 3:07 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 29 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-29 at 3:07PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.2¢ on ProphetX, 37.0¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 8.2¢ on ProphetX, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 62.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 82.5¢ implies about a 82.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.