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Live prediction market odds for Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-28

This market resolved on 2026-08-28. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 71%.

About This Market

Seattle Mariners vs.

Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Dylan Cease Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Emerson Hancock Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Emerson Hancock Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Emerson Hancock Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Emerson Hancock Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Emerson Hancock Over 4.5 Earned Runs
99%———
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits
99%———
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits
99%———
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
George Springer Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Cole Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%98%
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Taylor Ward Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
———95%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——95%—
Cole Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—95%—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—95%—
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—95%—
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Emerson Hancock Over 1.5 Strikeouts
1%—92%—
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%92%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Julio Rodriguez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Total over 6.5
99%—92%84%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——87%—
Total over 7.0
———79%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——75%—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
99%—64%83%
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER
99%80%0%61%
Total over 7.5
99%—68%72%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——67%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——63%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——63%
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
61%———
Randy Arozarena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——60%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
56%——58%
Total over 8.5
99%—62%51%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
55%——57%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——54%
Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%54%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—94%12%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——6%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Dylan Cease Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——0%52%
Josh Naylor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——5%99%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%——51%
Emerson Hancock Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—47%54%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——50%
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 2.5
——50%—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
99%—50%—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—88%8%
Emerson Hancock Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——47%48%
Taylor Ward Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——47%
Cal Raleigh Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—88%4%
Total under 8.5
——38%53%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——45%
Josh Naylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%——45%
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%——45%
Emerson Hancock Over 2.5 Strikeouts
15%—73%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
42%——44%
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
42%——44%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——43%
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——43%
Cole Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———42%
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%——41%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%———
Total under 7.5
——32%32%
Seattle Mariners
1%20%0%43%
Seattle Mariners spread plus 1.5
——36%26%
Total under 7.0
———29%
Emerson Hancock Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——27%—
Seattle Mariners spread minus 2.5
1%—25%—
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%———
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Hits
22%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits
19%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Emerson Hancock Over 4.5 Strikeouts
3%——34%
Dominic Canzone Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—0%14%
Cal Raleigh Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs
14%—88%9%
Total under 6.5
——8%20%
Seattle Mariners spread minus 1.5
1%—13%—
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——12%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Dylan Cease Over 1.5 Earned Runs
11%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—0%10%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
29%—3%9%
Brock Rodden Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—95%9%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—100%9%
Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—95%9%
Taylor Ward Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—10%9%
Cal Raleigh Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Emerson Hancock Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——8%—
Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 Hits
8%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
8%———
Dylan Cease Over 12.5 Strikeouts
7%———
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
9%—3%—
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——5%99%
Cole Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Dominic Canzone Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Josh Naylor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Julio Rodriguez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——5%—
Randy Arozarena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——5%99%
Josh Naylor Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—95%5%
Cole Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—0%4%
J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——3%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—95%3%
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Dylan Cease Over 10.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Dylan Cease Over 11.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Emerson Hancock Over 5.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Emerson Hancock Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Emerson Hancock Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—3%8%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—3%—
Taylor Ward Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—2%—
Randy Arozarena Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Hits
2%———
Cal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Dylan Cease Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Dylan Cease Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Dylan Cease Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Cal Raleigh Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Cole Young Over 1.5 Hits
0%———
Cole Young Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Cole Young Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Cole Young Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Dylan Cease Over 2.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Dylan Cease Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Dylan Cease Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Julio Rodriguez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Randy Arozarena Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Randy Arozarena Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Randy Arozarena Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Brock Rodden Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Dylan Cease Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
J.P. Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread98.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Toronto Blue Jays

60.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Seattle wins the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Seattle vs Toronto professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 28, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 28 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-28 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 61.4¢ on ProphetX, 80.0¢ on Polymarket US; Seattle Mariners: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 42.9¢ on ProphetX, 20.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (7:15 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 60.1¢ implies about a 60.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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