About This Market
St.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-14
This market resolved on 2026-08-14. Chicago Cubs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
St.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Clay Holmes Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Clay Holmes Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dansby Swanson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Cesar Prieto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Chicago CubsWINNER | 95% | 98% | 100% | 64% |
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 94% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 92% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Nico Hoerner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Masyn Winn Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 97% |
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 88% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 95% |
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 89% |
Carson Kelly Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 92% |
Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 91% |
Michael Busch Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 91% |
Alex Bregman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 89% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 85% | 81% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 84% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 81% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 79% | 82% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 94% | 66% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Ian Happ Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 97% | 56% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 76% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Cesar Prieto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 71% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 95% | 47% |
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 67% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 1% | 66% |
Blaze Jordan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 64% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Bryan Torres Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ian Happ Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 79% | — | 100% | 47% |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Jose Fermin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Clay Holmes Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 66% | 56% |
Tyrone Taylor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Pedro Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Dansby Swanson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 70% |
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 68% | — | — | 47% |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Carson Kelly Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 55% | — | — | 57% |
Matthew Liberatore Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 56% |
Total over 4.5 | 25% | — | — | 86% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 72% | — | 99% | 36% |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 53% | — | — | 53% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 52% |
Michael Busch Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Alex Bregman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Seiya Suzuki Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Nico Hoerner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 50% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 54% |
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 48% |
Matthew Liberatore Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 46% |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 49% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Cesar Prieto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 52% | — | — | 39% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Total over 5.5 | 13% | — | — | 75% |
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 44% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Blaze Jordan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 42% | — | — | — |
Bryan Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 42% |
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 43% |
Clay Holmes Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 34% | 46% |
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Jose Fermin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | 58% |
Jose Fermin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | 41% |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | 54% |
Total over 6.5 | 8% | — | — | 66% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 36% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | 50% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | 44% |
Dansby Swanson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 30% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 29% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 28% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | — | — | — |
Chicago C wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 26% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | 38% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 21% | 27% |
Alex Bregman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | — | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 20% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 18% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 15% | 20% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Dansby Swanson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 14% | 13% |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Total over 11.5 | 2% | — | — | 22% |
Alex Bregman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 12% | 14% |
Dansby Swanson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Alex Bregman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
Pedro Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Michael Busch Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 13% |
Ian Happ Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 14% |
Tyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 12% |
Jose Fermin Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 7% |
Carson Kelly Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 11% |
Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Total over 9.5 | 2% | — | 6% | 36% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 9% |
Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 8% |
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 8% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals | 5% | 2% | 0% | 38% |
Total over 7.5 | 5% | — | 5% | 54% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 8% |
Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 4% | — | 3% | 46% |
Cesar Prieto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 5% |
Alex Bregman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | — | — |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Dansby Swanson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ian Happ Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Matthew Liberatore Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Tyrone Taylor Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Clay Holmes Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Clay Holmes Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Matthew Liberatore Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Bryan Torres Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Carson Kelly Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Dansby Swanson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Michael Busch Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Pedro Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs
89.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf St. Louis wins the St. Louis vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the St. Louis vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 14 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-14 at 2:20PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Chicago Cubs: 95.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 63.7¢ on ProphetX, 98.0¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 37.5¢ on ProphetX, 2.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 37.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Chicago Cubs at 89.1¢ implies about a 89.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.