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Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Cincinnati Reds Wins: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-19

This market resolved on 2026-08-19. Cincinnati Reds was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.

About This Market

St.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Matthew Liberatore Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——100%—
Matthew Liberatore Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Matthew Liberatore Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Blaze Jordan Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Chase Burns Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Chase Burns Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Chase Burns Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Matthew Liberatore Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Matthew Liberatore Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Matthew Liberatore Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Matthew Liberatore Over 8.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 4.5 runs scored
99%———
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Michael Toglia Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Chase Burns Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%99%
Eugenio Suarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%98%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Sal Stewart Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Dane Myers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Masyn Winn Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%98%
Cincinnati RedsWINNER
99%90%100%85%
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———87%
Jimmy Crooks Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———83%
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Blaze Jordan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———79%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5
——76%—
Total under 8.5
——64%86%
Michael Toglia Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Total over 5.5
99%——73%
Total under 9.5
——73%—
Matthew Liberatore Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%72%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5
——69%—
Total under 7.5
——53%83%
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Dane Myers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Blaze Jordan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Elly De La Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
JJ Bleday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jose Trevino Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Sal Stewart Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jose Trevino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Michael Toglia Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Matt McLain Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Tyler Stephenson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——16%99%
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Chase Burns Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%57%
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5
——62%49%
Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——98%10%
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total under 6.5
———54%
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total over 8.0
———53%
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Matthew Liberatore Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——1%52%
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Total over 6.5
99%——51%
Tyler Stephenson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Matt McLain Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Total under 8.0
———49%
Matt McLain Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Dane Myers Over 0.5 Home Runs
——88%7%
Chase Burns Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%47%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs
——83%10%
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5
1%—38%54%
Blaze Jordan Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Michael Toglia Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Jose Trevino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Chase Burns Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%40%
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5
——40%—
Michael Toglia Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———38%
Total over 7.5
99%—47%21%
Blaze Jordan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———32%
Total under 5.5
———32%
Chase Burns Over 9.5 Strikeouts
31%———
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5
2%—60%—
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5
1%—31%—
Total over 8.5
99%—36%19%
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———27%
Total over 9.5
1%—27%—
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5
1%—24%—
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———20%
JJ Bleday Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Sal Stewart Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
St. Louis Cardinals
1%10%100%20%
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%8%
Sal Stewart Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%14%
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%8%
JJ Bleday Over 0.5 Home Runs
——16%8%
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Ke'Bryan Hayes Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Jose Trevino Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Blaze Jordan Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%8%
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs
——1%8%
Michael Toglia Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Matt McLain Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Tyler Stephenson Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%6%
Elly De La Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Elly De La Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Chase Burns Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs
1%———
Matthew Liberatore Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 10.5 runs scored
1%———
Over 11.5 runs scored
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
St. Louis wins by over 3.5 runs
1%———
Matthew Liberatore Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Chase Burns Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Dane Myers Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Eugenio Suarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Eugenio Suarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Chase Burns Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—
Elly De La Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread98.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Cincinnati Reds

93.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Cincinnati wins the St. Louis vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the St. Louis vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 19 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-19 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Cincinnati Reds: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 85.3¢ on ProphetX, 90.0¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 20.1¢ on ProphetX, 10.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Cincinnati Reds at 93.6¢ implies about a 93.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
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