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Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Philadelphia Phillies Wins: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21

This market resolved on 2026-08-21. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

St.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jesus Luzardo Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 8.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Pedro Pages Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Blaze Jordan Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Everson Pereira Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Total under 5.5
———99%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5
———96%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—95%—
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs
——95%—
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%92%
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Total over 6.5
99%——91%
Total over 8.0
———91%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5
———91%
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%90%
Total over 9.0
———90%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5
——90%89%
Masyn Winn Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total over 8.5
99%—87%92%
Total over 5.5
99%——88%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5
———87%
Total over 4.5
99%——86%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5
——84%88%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5
——78%92%
Blaze Jordan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———82%
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5
———79%
Pedro Pages Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———78%
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER
99%100%59%97%
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
78%———
Total over 7.5
99%—76%80%
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
Everson Pereira Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———76%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
76%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0
———72%
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Kyle Schwarber Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%63%
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0
———60%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Total over 11.5
99%——59%
Total under 12.5
———58%
Total over 9.5
99%—52%64%
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Jesus Luzardo Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——0%57%
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Total under 10.5
———57%
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5
——25%89%
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
55%——55%
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs
——11%99%
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Total over 10.5
99%——54%
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits
54%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5
1%—78%24%
Total over 12.5
99%——51%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
57%——45%
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——92%8%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%1%46%54%
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0
———46%
Total under 9.5
——48%45%
Blaze Jordan Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%46%
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Total under 11.5
———45%
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%——43%
Jesus Luzardo Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%41%
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Blaze Jordan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%———
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 RBIs
36%———
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%———
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0
———35%
Everson Pereira Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———33%
Pedro Pages Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———33%
Trea Turner Over 0.5 RBIs
33%———
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——52%
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%———
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits
27%———
Total under 7.5
——24%29%
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 RBIs
25%———
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5
———24%
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5
1%—25%14%
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%18%
Total under 4.5
———18%
Total under 9.0
———17%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5
1%——17%
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%13%
Total under 6.5
———16%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5
1%—16%16%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 RBIs
16%———
Total under 8.0
———15%
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%———
Total under 8.5
——13%16%
Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%8%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs
7%—20%—
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—20%6%
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Total Bases
13%———
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%6%
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5
1%—10%15%
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%6%
Trea Turner Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%11%
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5
1%——11%
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits
10%———
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs
——12%7%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—9%8%
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits
8%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 RBIs
8%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 5.5 Total Bases
8%———
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5
———8%
Blaze Jordan Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Everson Pereira Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits
7%———
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 RBIs
7%———
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Total Bases
7%———
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Total Bases
6%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Total Bases
6%———
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—0%6%
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—5%—
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits
5%———
Pedro Pages Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs
———4%
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits
4%———
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits
3%———
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 10.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 11.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 18.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs
1%———
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Total Bases
1%———
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jesus Luzardo Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—0%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread53.7%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Philadelphia Phillies

88.7% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If St. Louis wins the St. Louis vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the St. Louis vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 21 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 59.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.1¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 46.0¢ on Polymarket, 54.2¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 53.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 88.7¢ implies about a 88.7% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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