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Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22
This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.
Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Shane McClanahan Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Brandon Young Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Brandon Young Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Shane McClanahan Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Shane McClanahan Over 13.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 98% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 98% |
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 95% |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits | 96% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits | 96% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases | 96% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 92% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 92% | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 93% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 93% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 92% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 90% |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 89% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 81% | 88% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 71% | 97% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 78% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 62% | 91% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 60% | 90% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 70% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 68% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 66% | 66% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Shane McClanahan Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 65% |
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 99% | 65% | 36% | 76% |
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Brandon Young Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 44% |
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 49% | 74% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 14% |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 55% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 52% |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — | 49% |
Shane McClanahan Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 47% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | 51% |
Brandon Young Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | 65% |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | 42% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 51% | 30% |
Chandler Simpson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 39% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 34% | 39% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 36% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 36% |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays | 1% | 35% | 64% | 27% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 35% |
Shane McClanahan Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 32% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits | 30% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 40% | 18% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 38% | 16% |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 26% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits | 25% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 10% |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 20% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 19% | 19% |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 19% | — | — | — |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 17% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 17% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 15% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 8% | 24% |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 19% | 15% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 14% |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 9% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 8% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 12% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 11% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Shane McClanahan Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 8% | — | — | — |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 8% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 11% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 6% |
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Brandon Young Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Shane McClanahan Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Shane McClanahan Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 3% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 1% | — |
Brandon Young Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Brandon Young Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane McClanahan Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles
68.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Baltimore wins the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 22 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 36.0¢ on Polymarket, 75.7¢ on ProphetX, 65.0¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 64.0¢ on Polymarket, 27.4¢ on ProphetX, 35.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 63.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Baltimore Orioles at 68.9¢ implies about a 68.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.