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Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Baltimore Orioles Wins: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22

This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 70%.

About This Market

Tampa Bay Rays vs.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Shane McClanahan Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Brandon Young Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Brandon Young Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Shane McClanahan Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Shane McClanahan Over 13.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%98%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
———98%
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
———97%
Total under 10.5
———97%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———97%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%95%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits
96%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
96%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases
96%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5
———93%
Total under 8.0
———92%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5
——92%92%
Total under 11.5
———91%
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5
———88%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%93%
Tyler O'Neill Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%93%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%92%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%90%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%89%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5
——81%88%
Total under 9.5
——71%97%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0
———78%
Total under 8.5
——62%91%
Total under 7.5
——60%90%
Total under 4.5
———72%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0
———70%
Total under 5.5
———68%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——66%66%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Shane McClanahan Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%65%
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Baltimore OriolesWINNER
99%65%36%76%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Brandon Young Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——81%44%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——49%74%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Christian Franklin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——57%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
——98%14%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total under 6.5
———55%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——52%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Total over 6.5
1%——49%
Shane McClanahan Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%47%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%——51%
Brandon Young Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%65%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
41%——42%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5
1%—51%30%
Chandler Simpson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———39%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5
1%—34%39%
Total over 5.5
1%——36%
Total over 4.5
99%——36%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%———
Tampa Bay Rays
1%35%64%27%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———35%
Total over 3.5
99%——35%
Shane McClanahan Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—32%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs
31%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits
30%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs
29%———
Total over 7.5
1%—40%18%
Total over 8.5
1%—38%16%
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%———
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———26%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits
25%———
Total over 9.5
1%—29%10%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—19%20%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
1%—19%19%
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases
19%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%17%
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
18%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—1%17%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 RBIs
17%———
Tyler O'Neill Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%15%
Total over 11.5
1%——16%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—8%24%
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases
16%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs
15%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—19%15%
Total over 8.0
———14%
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——14%
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs
———14%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%9%
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%8%
Total over 10.5
1%——12%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs
12%———
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs
——0%11%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5
———11%
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
10%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits
9%———
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Shane McClanahan Over 6.5 Strikeouts
8%———
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5
1%——8%
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——11%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5
———6%
Christian Franklin Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases
6%———
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Brandon Young Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Brandon Young Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits
3%———
Shane McClanahan Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Shane McClanahan Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—3%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 5.5 Total Bases
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Total Bases
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—1%—
Brandon Young Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Brandon Young Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Brandon Young Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases
1%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits
1%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
1%———
Shane McClanahan Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 RBIs
0%———
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread63.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Baltimore Orioles

68.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Baltimore wins the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 22 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 36.0¢ on Polymarket, 75.7¢ on ProphetX, 65.0¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 64.0¢ on Polymarket, 27.4¢ on ProphetX, 35.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 63.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Baltimore Orioles at 68.9¢ implies about a 68.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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