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Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Baltimore Orioles Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-21

This market resolved on 2026-09-21. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.

About This Market

Toronto Blue Jays vs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Home Runs
———100%—
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
100%——100%—
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%—
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
————99%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
————98%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%97%
Brett Bateman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———97%—
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
————97%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
————96%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
————95%
Brett Bateman Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Dylan Beavers Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
George Springer Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Nathan Lukes Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Nathan Lukes Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Pete Alonso Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Pete Alonso Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Pete Alonso Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Samuel Basallo Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%—
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%95%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%94%
Jeremiah Jackson Under 0.5 Home Runs
————94%
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs
————94%
Rece Hinds Under 0.5 Home Runs
————94%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%94%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
————93%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
————92%
Baltimore OriolesWINNER
100%92%53%99%97%
Total under 12.5
————91%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%90%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
———89%91%
Total under 9.5
————90%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
————89%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%88%
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%88%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%87%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
———76%98%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%86%
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———97%73%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
———0%83%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%80%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%78%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%78%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%78%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————77%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————77%
Total under 8.5
———68%83%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————74%
Jeremiah Jackson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————74%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
73%————
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————72%
Shane Baz Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————72%
Total under 11.5
————71%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%71%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
———57%84%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%70%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%70%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%70%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
86%——51%52%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———95%43%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————69%
Total under 10.5
————69%
Jose Barrero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————68%
Total over 6.5
100%——92%38%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%65%
Trey Yesavage Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————64%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————64%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%64%
Sean Keys Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————63%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
————63%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
63%————
Jeremiah Jackson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————63%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
———38%86%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
————60%
Trey Yesavage Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————60%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————60%
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————59%
Total under 8.0
————59%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————58%
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————56%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%56%
Total under 5.5
————56%
Total under 7.0
————55%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%55%
Jose Barrero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————55%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%——96%14%
Total under 9.0
————54%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
———98%9%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%———55%
Total over 9.0
————52%
Rece Hinds Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————51%
Total over 7.0
————51%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————50%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%50%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
———2%97%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%49%
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%49%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%48%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%47%
Total under 7.5
———14%80%
Trey Yesavage Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————47%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————46%
Sean Keys Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————45%
Total over 8.0
————44%
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———5%81%
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———42%
Shane Baz Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————42%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
————42%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
————42%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%8%52%99%42%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%——51%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
40%————
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%38%
Trey Yesavage Under 2.5 Strikeouts
————38%
Total under 6.5
———8%64%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
36%————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%——51%48%
Total over 12.5
————33%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
31%————
Total over 8.5
7%——66%30%
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
28%——51%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
25%————
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
25%————
Total over 7.5
7%——86%24%
George Springer Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
23%——51%—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
100%——100%21%
Total under 4.5
————20%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
————20%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
2%——43%19%
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
————18%
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
100%——100%17%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%———17%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
17%————
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs
————16%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
15%——51%—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%———15%
Total under 3.5
————14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
13%————
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
3%——100%22%
Rece Hinds Over 0.5 Home Runs
————12%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5
————12%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
————11%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
————11%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
————11%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%———11%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%——19%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
10%————
Jeremiah Jackson Over 0.5 Home Runs
————10%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs
————10%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
————10%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
————9%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
————8%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
1%——4%11%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
————7%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
————7%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
6%——51%—
Brett Bateman Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———5%—
George Springer Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———5%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———5%—
Nathan Lukes Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———5%—
Nathan Lukes Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———5%—
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———3%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
3%————
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%————
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Dylan Beavers Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs
———0%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
0%————
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%————
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%————
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
0%————
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%————
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%————
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Alejandro Kirk Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
—————
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Brett Bateman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Brett Bateman Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Brett Bateman Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Brett Bateman Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Brett Bateman Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Coby Mayo Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Coby Mayo Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Coby Mayo Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Coby Mayo Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Coby Mayo Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Coby Mayo Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Coby Mayo Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Coby Mayo Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Dylan Beavers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Dylan Beavers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Dylan Beavers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Dylan Beavers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Dylan Beavers Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Dylan Beavers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Dylan Beavers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits
—————
George Springer Over 0.5 RBIs
—————
George Springer Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
—————
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits
—————
George Springer Over 1.5 RBIs
—————
George Springer Over 1.5 Total Bases
—————
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits
—————
George Springer Over 2.5 Total Bases
—————
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits
—————
George Springer Over 3.5 Total Bases
—————
George Springer Over 4.5 Total Bases
—————
George Springer Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
George Springer Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
George Springer Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
George Springer Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases
—————
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%—
Gunnar Henderson Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 RBIs
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 RBIs
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Total Bases
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Total Bases
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Total Bases
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Total Bases
—————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Nathan Lukes Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Nathan Lukes Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Nathan Lukes Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Nathan Lukes Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Over 1.5 runs scored
—————
Over 2.5 runs scored
—————
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
—————
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs
—————
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
—————
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
—————
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs
—————
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases
—————
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
—————
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases
—————
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases
—————
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases
—————
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Pete Alonso Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Home Runs
—————
Samuel Basallo Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Samuel Basallo Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Samuel Basallo Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%—
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Samuel Basallo Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Samuel Basallo Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Samuel Basallo Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Samuel Basallo Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%—
Shane Baz Over 0.5 Earned Runs
—————
Shane Baz Over 1.5 Earned Runs
—————
Shane Baz Over 1.5 Strikeouts
—————
Shane Baz Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
—————
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Earned Runs
—————
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Strikeouts
—————
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Earned Runs
—————
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Strikeouts
—————
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Earned Runs
—————
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Strikeouts
—————
Shane Baz Over 6.5 Strikeouts
—————
Shane Baz Over 7.5 Strikeouts
—————
Total over 10.5
—————
Total over 11.5
—————
Total over 3.5
—————
Total over 4.5
—————
Total over 5.5
—————
Total over 9.5
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread98.5%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Baltimore Orioles

88.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Toronto Blue Jays in Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 21 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-21 at 6:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on ProphetX, 92.0¢ on Polymarket US, 53.0¢ on Novig; Toronto Blue Jays: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 41.8¢ on ProphetX, 8.0¢ on Polymarket US, 52.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 98.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Baltimore Orioles at 88.1¢ implies about a 88.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds