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Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-05
This market resolved on 2026-09-05. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 74%.
Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals (7:10 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 93% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 98% |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 94% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 88% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 100% | 86% |
Salvador Perez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 86% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 89% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 85% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 87% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 84% |
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 100% | — | 82% | — |
Max Scherzer Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Max Scherzer Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Seth Lugo Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 82% | — |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | — |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | — |
Seth Lugo Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | — |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 80% |
Nick Loftin Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 75% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 100% | 76% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Kyle Isbel Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Brett Bateman Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 69% |
Max Scherzer Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 73% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 64% |
Jac Caglianone Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 64% |
Kyle Isbel Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | 63% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 61% |
George Springer Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 60% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 100% | 71% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | 59% |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | 59% |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 54% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | 52% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 81% | 52% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 81% | 52% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 39% | 92% |
Isaac Collins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 46% | 78% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 61% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 58% |
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Michael Massey Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Seth Lugo Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 55% | 58% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 55% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Carter Jensen Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 87% |
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 86% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER | 100% | 48% | 53% | 96% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 18% |
Kansas City Royals | 1% | 52% | 52% | 8% |
Michael Massey Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 49% | 53% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 49% | 51% |
Seth Lugo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 55% | 45% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 50% |
Carter Jensen Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 0% | 50% |
Jac Caglianone Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 0% | 47% |
Isaac Collins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Nick Loftin Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 73% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 63% | — | 19% | 45% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 39% |
Vinnie Pasquantino Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 54% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | 19% | 42% |
Seth Lugo Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 36% | — |
Seth Lugo Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 36% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 53% |
Salvador Perez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 53% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 43% | 26% |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 49% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 49% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 34% |
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | 19% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | 19% | — |
Brett Bateman Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 19% | 39% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 28% |
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 26% | — |
Max Scherzer Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 26% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | 19% | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 31% | — | 19% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 24% |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 22% |
Salvador Perez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | 19% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 23% | — | 19% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 18% | 23% |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | 19% | 55% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | 19% | — |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 22% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | 19% | 62% |
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | 19% | 43% |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 3% | — | 19% | 43% |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 19% | 22% |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Seth Lugo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 19% |
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 18% | — |
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Max Scherzer Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Seth Lugo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 18% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | 19% | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 12% |
Michael Massey Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 16% |
Seth Lugo Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 15% | — |
Seth Lugo Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 15% | — |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 15% |
Isaac Collins Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 25% |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 19% | 14% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 8% | — | 19% | — |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | 19% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | 19% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | 23% |
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | 19% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 12% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 100% | 11% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 19% | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 19% | — |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 10% |
George Springer Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 5% | — | — | — |
Vinnie Pasquantino Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Nick Loftin Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Carter Jensen Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Jac Caglianone Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Salvador Perez Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 12.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 13.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays
74.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Kansas City wins the Toronto vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Toronto vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 5 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-05 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 52.5¢ on Polymarket, 95.8¢ on ProphetX, 48.0¢ on Polymarket US; Kansas City Royals: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 51.5¢ on Polymarket, 7.5¢ on ProphetX, 52.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 51.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 74.0¢ implies about a 74.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.