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Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22

This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.

About This Market

Toronto Blue Jays vs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
100%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
100%———
Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Dylan Cease Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Dylan Cease Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Dylan Cease Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Ryan Weathers Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——99%99%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Over 1.5 runs scored
97%———
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%99%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
94%———
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5
———93%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———93%
Total under 9.5
———92%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
Total under 10.5
———90%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——99%90%
Total under 8.5
——90%88%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%97%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5
——96%81%
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER
100%86%90%88%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———87%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5
———84%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———82%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———80%
Daz Cameron Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jose Caballero Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———79%
Total under 7.0
———78%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———77%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———76%
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Total over 3.5
69%——71%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——67%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——66%
Total over 4.5
100%——65%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5
——98%32%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——62%
Ryan Weathers Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——1%62%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———62%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0
———60%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Total under 6.5
——40%76%
Total over 5.5
61%——55%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Davis Schneider Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total under 5.5
———54%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Home Runs
——52%—
Dylan Cease Over 1.5 Earned Runs
51%———
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
51%——50%
Davis Schneider Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Dylan Cease Under 8.5 Strikeouts
——52%49%
Total under 7.5
——33%67%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——7%93%
Dylan Cease Over 8.5 Strikeouts
40%——58%
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%——55%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——49%
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Home Runs
——48%—
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——47%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——46%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%——48%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——43%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Total under 4.5
———43%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———43%
Total over 7.5
1%—33%49%
Ryan Weathers Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—41%—
Ryan Weathers Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%40%
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——40%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——40%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0
———39%
Total over 6.5
45%—39%29%
Total under 3.5
———38%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%——35%
Ryan Weathers Over 2.5 Earned Runs
37%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—2%72%
Dylan Cease Over 10.5 Strikeouts
36%———
Dylan Cease Over 9.5 Strikeouts
35%———
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——34%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%——26%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——32%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——31%
Total over 7.0
———30%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
22%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
19%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——18%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
18%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Total over 9.5
1%——16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
16%———
Total over 10.5
1%——15%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5
1%——15%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs
——19%10%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5
1%—1%14%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs
——17%10%
New York Yankees
1%15%11%14%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
1%—4%23%
Total over 8.5
1%—7%19%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
——16%9%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———12%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
——12%—
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5
1%—7%15%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5
———10%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
9%———
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%8%
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%6%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%7%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs
——7%7%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%9%
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
——6%7%
Dylan Cease Over 13.5 Strikeouts
6%———
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs
——99%5%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——5%
Dylan Cease Over 11.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
5%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
4%———
Dylan Cease Over 12.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Ryan Weathers Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Ryan Weathers Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Ryan Weathers Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Ryan Weathers Over 9.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Ryan Weathers Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Ryan Weathers Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Ryan Weathers Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Ryan Weathers Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Over 11.5 runs scored
1%———
Dylan Cease Under 6.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Dylan Cease Under 7.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Dylan Cease Over 0.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Dylan Cease Over 2.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Dylan Cease Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Dylan Cease Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ryan Weathers Over 0.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ryan Weathers Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ryan Weathers Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Ryan Weathers Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
0%———
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread14.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Toronto Blue Jays

90.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 22 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 90.0¢ on Polymarket, 88.3¢ on ProphetX, 85.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 11.0¢ on Polymarket, 13.6¢ on ProphetX, 14.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 14.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 90.8¢ implies about a 90.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available