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Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22
This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 100% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 100% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Dylan Cease Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 97% | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases | 94% | — | — | — |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 90% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 90% | 88% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 97% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 96% | 81% |
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER | 100% | 86% | 90% | 88% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 82% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Daz Cameron Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jose Caballero Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 78% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Total over 3.5 | 69% | — | — | 71% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 67% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 66% |
Total over 4.5 | 100% | — | — | 65% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 98% | 32% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Ryan Weathers Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 62% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 62% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 40% | 76% |
Total over 5.5 | 61% | — | — | 55% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Davis Schneider Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 54% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 52% | — |
Dylan Cease Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 51% | — | — | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 50% |
Davis Schneider Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Dylan Cease Under 8.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 52% | 49% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 33% | 67% |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 7% | 93% |
Dylan Cease Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 40% | — | — | 58% |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 55% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 47% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 46% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 48% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 43% |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 43% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 33% | 49% |
Ryan Weathers Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 41% | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 40% |
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 40% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 40% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 39% |
Total over 6.5 | 45% | — | 39% | 29% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 38% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 35% |
Ryan Weathers Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 37% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 72% |
Dylan Cease Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 36% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 35% | — | — | — |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 34% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | 26% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 32% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 31% |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 30% |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 4% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases | 19% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 10% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 1% | 14% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 17% | 10% |
New York Yankees | 1% | 15% | 11% | 14% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 23% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 7% | 19% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 9% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 12% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 7% | 15% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 10% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 7% | 8% |
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | 6% |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 7% | 7% |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 7% | 7% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 9% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 6% | 7% |
Dylan Cease Over 13.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | — | — |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 5% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 5% |
Dylan Cease Over 11.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 12.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Ryan Weathers Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Dylan Cease Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Dylan Cease Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Dylan Cease Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Ryan Weathers Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Austin Wells Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays
90.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 22 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 90.0¢ on Polymarket, 88.3¢ on ProphetX, 85.5¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 11.0¢ on Polymarket, 13.6¢ on ProphetX, 14.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 14.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 90.8¢ implies about a 90.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.