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Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
New York YankeesWINNER | 99% | 99% | 100% | 99% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Carlos Rodon Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jose Soriano Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 98% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 89% | 92% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 91% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 98% |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 92% | 82% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jose Soriano Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 71% | 90% |
Carlos Rodon Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 80% | — |
Carlos Rodon Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 59% | 93% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 75% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 75% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 72% |
Carlos Rodon Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 81% | 58% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 69% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 69% |
Jose Soriano Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 57% | 80% |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 68% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Jose Soriano Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 43% | 88% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jose Soriano Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 64% | — | — | — |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | — | 61% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Carlos Rodon Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 57% | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 55% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 54% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 55% | — | — | 45% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 50% |
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 50% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 47% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 90% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 90% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 46% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 46% |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Carlos Rodon Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 41% | 49% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 44% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 44% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 41% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | — | 40% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 38% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 36% |
Carlos Rodon Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | 51% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 0% | 34% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 1% | 29% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 44% | — | — | 11% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 24% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 13% |
Carlos Rodon Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 20% | — |
Jose Soriano Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 20% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 17% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits | 17% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 16% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 16% | 10% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 8% | 17% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs | 14% | — | — | 9% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 14% | 9% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 11% | 14% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 83% | 10% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 11% | 9% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 12% | 6% |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 16% | 9% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 1% | 8% |
Carlos Rodon Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 7% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 7% | 9% |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 RBIs | 6% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 9% |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 6% | 6% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 6% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 6% |
Carlos Rodon Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 5% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 13% | 5% |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 4% | 5% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 0% | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits | 3% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 2% | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 2% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Carlos Rodon Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Carlos Rodon Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Carlos Rodon Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Carlos Rodon Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Carlos Rodon Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Carlos Rodon Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jose Soriano Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | — |
New York Yankees
99.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.5¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.5¢ on Polymarket, 2.8¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Yankees at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.