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Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Yankees Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23

This market resolved on 2026-08-23. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Toronto Blue Jays vs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
New York YankeesWINNER
99%99%100%99%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Carlos Rodon Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Jose Soriano Over 0.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jose Soriano Over 1.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jose Soriano Over 2.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jose Soriano Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jose Soriano Over 3.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jose Soriano Over 4.5 Earned Runs
99%———
Jose Soriano Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Jose Soriano Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——99%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs
——99%—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%98%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——94%99%
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5
——89%92%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5
99%—100%91%
Total over 4.5
99%——91%
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%98%
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs
——90%—
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5
———90%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
——89%99%
Total over 6.5
99%—92%82%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5
———84%
Total under 11.5
———84%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Jose Soriano Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Total over 5.5
99%——81%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5
——71%90%
Carlos Rodon Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——80%—
Carlos Rodon Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——59%93%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5
99%—99%75%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%75%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———72%
Carlos Rodon Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——81%58%
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Total under 10.5
———69%
Jose Soriano Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——57%80%
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5
———68%
Total over 8.0
———68%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Jose Soriano Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—43%88%
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0
———65%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Jose Soriano Over 7.5 Strikeouts
64%———
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——62%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——61%
Total over 9.5
99%——61%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Carlos Rodon Over 1.5 Earned Runs
57%———
Total over 8.5
99%—100%55%
Total under 8.5
——0%54%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———54%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——51%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0
———51%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
55%——45%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——50%
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——50%
Total under 9.5
———47%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—90%—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—90%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
46%——46%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——46%
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Carlos Rodon Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—41%49%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——44%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5
99%——44%
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——43%
Total under 8.0
———41%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———40%
Total over 10.5
99%——40%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——38%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———36%
Carlos Rodon Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%51%
Total under 7.5
——0%34%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——1%29%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
44%——11%
Total over 11.5
1%——24%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—29%13%
Carlos Rodon Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—20%—
Jose Soriano Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——20%—
Total under 5.5
———18%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——17%
Total under 4.5
———17%
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits
17%———
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——0%16%
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—16%10%
Total under 6.5
——8%17%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5
———13%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs
14%——9%
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—14%9%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
2%—11%14%
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%—83%10%
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——10%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—11%9%
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—12%6%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——9%
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—16%9%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—1%8%
Carlos Rodon Over 8.5 Strikeouts
7%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%—7%9%
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
6%———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 RBIs
6%———
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——9%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—6%6%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——6%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——6%
Carlos Rodon Over 6.5 Strikeouts
5%———
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits
5%———
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%—13%5%
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—4%5%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—0%—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%———
Jose Soriano Over 8.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Jose Soriano Over 9.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
3%———
Toronto Blue Jays
1%1%1%3%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—2%—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs
2%———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—2%—
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs
——2%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%—2%—
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs
——1%—
Carlos Rodon Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Carlos Rodon Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Carlos Rodon Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jose Soriano Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%—1%—
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Carlos Rodon Over 2.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Carlos Rodon Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Carlos Rodon Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Total Bases
0%———
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
0%———
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
0%———
Jose Soriano Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—1%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.3%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Yankees

99.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.5¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.5¢ on Polymarket, 2.8¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available