About This Market
Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21
This market resolved on 2026-08-21. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 97% |
Paul Goldschmidt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 95% |
New York YankeesWINNER | 95% | 95% | 100% | 96% |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 94% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 93% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 91% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 90% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 91% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 78% | 98% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 88% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 88% | — | 24% | 87% |
Total under 7.0 | — | — | — | 86% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 85% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 84% | 86% |
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 85% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 81% |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Amed Rosario Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 66% | 89% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 65% | 84% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 74% |
Ali Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 73% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 57% | 88% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 38% | 80% |
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 14% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Paul Goldschmidt Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Cam Schlittler Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 49% | 51% |
Cam Schlittler Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 49% | 50% |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 7% |
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 5% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 46% |
Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 5% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 5% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 6% |
Jose Caballero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Total over 6.5 | 8% | — | 81% | 41% |
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 36% |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Cam Schlittler Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 32% | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 32% | — | — | — |
Cam Schlittler Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 32% | — |
Total over 7.0 | — | — | — | 30% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 30% |
Total over 4.5 | 34% | — | — | 26% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 28% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 35% | 20% |
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 27% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 26% |
Total over 7.5 | 6% | — | 38% | 26% |
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 25% |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 24% | 18% |
Amed Rosario Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Cam Schlittler Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 19% | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 19% |
Total over 8.5 | 3% | — | 34% | 19% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 18% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 25% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 16% | 17% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 5.5 | 15% | — | — | 15% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 14% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 14% |
Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Total over 10.5 | 3% | — | — | 23% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 6% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 5% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Total over 11.5 | 2% | — | — | 16% |
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 7% |
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Total over 9.5 | 3% | — | — | 11% |
Ali Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Toronto Blue Jays | 6% | 5% | 100% | 6% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Cam Schlittler Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Heliot Ramos Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
New York Yankees
96.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Toronto vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 21 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Yankees: 95.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 96.1¢ on ProphetX, 95.0¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 6.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 6.0¢ on ProphetX, 5.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 94.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Yankees at 96.5¢ implies about a 96.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.