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Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-09
This market resolved on 2026-08-09. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Toronto Blue Jays vs.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Davis Schneider Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 96% |
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 98% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 95% | 93% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 95% | 92% |
Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 96% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 90% | 97% |
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 97% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 96% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 94% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 94% |
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 90% |
Shane Bieber Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 91% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 90% |
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 84% | 95% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 89% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 95% |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 99% | 83% | 91% | 99% |
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 92% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 84% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | 74% | 93% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 82% |
Justin Crawford Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jesus Luzardo Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 79% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 78% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 71% | 84% |
Shane Bieber Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 76% | — |
Shane Bieber Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | 74% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 0% | 73% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 47% | 99% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 63% | 81% |
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 70% |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Bryce Harper Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Trea Turner Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 65% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 65% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jesus Luzardo Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 53% | 73% |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Justin Crawford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Davis Schneider Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 56% | — | — | 59% |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 56% |
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Davis Schneider Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 53% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 53% |
Shane Bieber Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 50% | 56% |
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 49% | — | — | 55% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Shane Bieber Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 50% | 47% |
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 49% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 48% |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 45% |
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 40% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 39% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 38% |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | 54% |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | 35% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 29% | 42% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Jesus Luzardo Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 35% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | 54% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | 37% | 27% |
Total over 13.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 26% | — | — | — |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 25% |
Shane Bieber Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 24% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | 1% | 22% |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 22% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | 22% |
Jesus Luzardo Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 21% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 1% | 21% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5 | 1% | — | 26% | 10% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 15% | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 16% | 12% |
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 10% | 15% |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 11% | 14% |
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 10% | 14% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 19% |
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | 15% |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | 16% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 10% | 12% |
Justin Crawford Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 9% | 13% |
Shane Bieber Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 9% | — |
Toronto Blue Jays | 1% | 17% | 9% | 3% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 9% | 17% |
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 8% |
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | 10% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 10% |
Davis Schneider Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 12% |
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 8% | 11% |
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5 | 3% | — | — | 12% |
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 5% | 10% |
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 8% |
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 8% |
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 7% |
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 5% | 8% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 2% | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 3% | — |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 2% | — |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 2% | — |
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 2% | — |
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 2% | — |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 2% | — |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 2% | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Justin Crawford Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shane Bieber Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies
93.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Toronto vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 9 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-09 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 91.4¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 83.0¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 8.6¢ on Polymarket, 3.1¢ on ProphetX, 17.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 16.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 93.1¢ implies about a 93.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.