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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-20

This market resolved on 2026-08-20. Toronto Blue Jays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms

Candidate
Ian Seymour Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	—
Ian Seymour Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	—
Shane Bieber Over 1.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	—
Shane Bieber Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	—
Toronto Blue JaysWINNER	99%	100%	100%	99%
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Ian Seymour Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Ian Seymour Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Ian Seymour Over 7.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Jorge Mateo Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	—
Nick Fortes Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	99%	—	—	—
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Shane Bieber Over 4.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Shane Bieber Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Shane Bieber Over 6.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	99%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	99%	—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	98%	—
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	97%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	93%	99%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	95%	—
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	99%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	94%	99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5	—	—	97%	90%
Total under 11.5	—	—	—	93%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	85%	99%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	99%
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	99%
Nick Fortes Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	90%	99%
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	0%	89%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	89%
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	89%	—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5	99%	—	99%	89%
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	96%
Total over 3.5	99%	—	—	88%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	88%	99%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5	—	—	97%	77%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	76%	95%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	83%
Total over 4.5	99%	—	—	83%
Total under 9.5	—	—	—	83%
Andres Gimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	99%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	80%	—
Nick Fortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	79%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	77%
Total under 8.5	—	—	83%	70%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	75%
Total over 5.5	99%	—	99%	75%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	74%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5	99%	—	—	74%
Myles Straw Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	73%	—
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	72%
Myles Straw Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	70%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	70%
Total under 7.5	—	—	85%	54%
Daz Cameron Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	69%
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	68%	—
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	66%
Daz Cameron Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	66%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	66%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	65%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5	99%	—	100%	65%
Nick Fortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Charles McAdoo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	64%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	63%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	63%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	62%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	61%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	60%
Shane Bieber Over 3.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	60%
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	59%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	58%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Total under 6.5	—	—	84%	32%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	58%
Ian Seymour Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	57%
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	57%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	54%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	54%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	54%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	53%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	53%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	52%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	51%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	51%
Shane Bieber Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	50%
Ian Seymour Over 5.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	100%	49%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	48%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	47%
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	47%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	47%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5	—	—	0%	46%
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	46%
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	46%
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	44%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	42%	—	—	47%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	43%	—	—	46%
Total over 6.5	1%	—	16%	72%
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	44%
Nick Fortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	0%	—	—	43%
Daz Cameron Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	42%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	41%
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	41%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	38%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	37%	—	—	39%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	36%	—	—	40%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	37%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	36%
Total under 5.5	—	—	1%	36%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	33%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	33%	—	—	—
Nick Fortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	32%
Total over 7.5	1%	—	15%	49%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	29%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	—	—	53%
Total over 8.5	1%	—	17%	34%
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	25%	—	—	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5	1%	—	—	22%
Total over 9.5	1%	—	—	22%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	22%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	20%	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	20%	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	20%	—	—	—
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs	20%	—	20%	—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	—
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	20%	—
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	20%	—
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	—
Total over 11.5	1%	—	—	20%
Myles Straw Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	20%	—
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	24%	15%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	100%	19%
Total over 10.5	1%	—	—	18%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5	1%	—	3%	32%
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	20%	11%
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	15%	—	—	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5	—	—	1%	15%
Total under 3.5	—	—	—	15%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	20%	7%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	15%	9%
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	20%	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	11%	—	—	—
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%	—
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	12%	6%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	9%
Daz Cameron Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	100%	9%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5	1%	—	3%	13%
Myles Straw Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	10%	7%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	0%	7%
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs	7%	—	1%	—
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	7%
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	10%	6%
Nick Fortes Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	10%	5%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	7%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	7%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs	99%	—	6%	4%
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	6%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	5%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	5%
Tampa Bay Rays	1%	1%	0%	2%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	2%	—
Ian Seymour Over 8.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Ian Seymour Over 9.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	—
Over 12.5 runs scored	1%	—	—	—
Jorge Mateo Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	1%	—
Nick Fortes Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	1%	—
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	1%	—
Ian Seymour Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Ian Seymour Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Shane Bieber Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Shane Bieber Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	0%	—
Charles McAdoo Over 1.5 Home Runs	0%	—	—	—
Andres Gimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the Toronto vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 20 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-20 at 1:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Toronto Blue Jays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 2.4¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.3 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Toronto Blue Jays at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

Toronto Blue Jays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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