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Live prediction market odds for Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-19

This market resolved on 2026-08-19. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 92%.

About This Market

Toronto Blue Jays vs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-19. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Jesus Sanchez Over 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs
——100%—
Drew Rasmussen Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—100%—
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Brett Bateman Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Drew Rasmussen Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Alejandro Kirk Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs
——97%99%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——98%—
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5
——92%93%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 3.5
———92%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5
———91%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——91%—
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
———90%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5
——95%85%
Total over 3.5
99%——88%
Ernie Clement Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%95%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——75%98%
Total over 12.5
99%——86%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 4.5
———86%
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER
99%83%100%84%
Total over 8.5
99%—97%70%
Total over 9.5
99%—87%80%
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———82%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 5.5
———82%
Total over 7.5
99%—100%81%
George Springer Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Nathan Lukes Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Total over 11.5
99%——80%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———78%
Total over 4.5
99%——77%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs
——76%—
Andres Gimenez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———76%
Jesus Sanchez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0
———74%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Nathan Lukes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
Total over 10.5
99%——67%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Brandon Valenzuela Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Brett Bateman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Drew Rasmussen Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%63%
Ernie Clement Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Total under 8.0
———63%
Total under 7.0
———62%
Total over 5.5
99%——62%
George Springer Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Josh Smith Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Alejandro Kirk Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5
1%—95%24%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Victor Mesa Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Kazuma Okamoto Under 0.5 Home Runs
——19%99%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
George Springer Under 0.5 Home Runs
——20%93%
Charles McAdoo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total under 11.5
———55%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Total over 8.0
———55%
Max Scherzer Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——54%53%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Total under 6.5
———53%
Max Scherzer Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—54%49%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——13%90%
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 2.5
——9%93%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5
1%—91%11%
Total over 6.5
99%——50%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Drew Rasmussen Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——45%55%
Total over 7.0
———50%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Home Runs
——92%7%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
George Springer Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%—45%47%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—75%13%
Brett Bateman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Total under 10.5
———43%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.5
——5%78%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——1%39%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———36%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0
———36%
Toronto Blue Jays spread plus 1.0
———34%
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———29%
Total under 5.5
———29%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.0
———28%
Total under 4.5
———27%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——45%
Total under 7.5
——0%23%
Total under 9.5
——14%31%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 5.5
———22%
George Springer Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 Home Runs
——20%—
Max Scherzer Over 1.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5
———19%
Total under 12.5
———19%
Total under 8.5
——3%34%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
———17%
George Springer Over 0.5 Home Runs
——100%15%
Total under 3.5
———15%
Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Home Runs
——20%8%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——99%14%
Max Scherzer Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——13%—
Alejandro Kirk Over 0.5 Home Runs
———12%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5
1%——12%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 3.5
1%——11%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—20%—
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 2.5
1%—5%16%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs
———10%
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%17%10%9%
Toronto Blue Jays spread minus 1.5
1%—8%11%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs
——9%—
Josh Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Charles McAdoo Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—14%—
Brett Bateman Over 0.5 Home Runs
———8%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—5%8%
Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%8%
Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs
——4%8%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs
———5%
Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%7%
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs
——3%—
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%———
Drew Rasmussen Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Drew Rasmussen Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Drew Rasmussen Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Max Scherzer Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Drew Rasmussen Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Ernie Clement Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jesus Sanchez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Max Scherzer Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%—99%—

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread16.9%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Tampa Bay Rays

91.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 19 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-19 at 6:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 84.4¢ on ProphetX, 83.0¢ on Polymarket US; Toronto Blue Jays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 9.7¢ on Polymarket, 9.3¢ on ProphetX, 17.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 16.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays (6:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 91.6¢ implies about a 91.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available