About This Market
Washington Nationals vs.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (1:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Miami Marlins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Washington Nationals vs.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (1:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Deyvison De Los Santos Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jackson Kent Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | — |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 98% | 97% |
Miami MarlinsWINNER | 99% | 98% | 93% | 98% |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 96% |
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Deyvison De Los Santos Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 98% | 92% |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 93% | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 93% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 97% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 98% | 84% |
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 89% |
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 89% | 99% |
Janson Junk Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 88% | — | 90% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Jackson Kent Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 99% | 87% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 89% | 83% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 86% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 80% |
Leo Jimenez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 80% |
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 78% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 76% |
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Janson Junk Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 67% | 72% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits | 69% | — | — | — |
Brian Navarreto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Jackson Kent Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 1% | 68% |
Andres Chaparro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jose Tena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Deyvison De Los Santos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Leo Jimenez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 63% |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Jackson Kent Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | 62% |
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 58% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 73% | 43% |
Agustin Ramirez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 1% | 57% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 13% | 99% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Janson Junk Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 55% | 54% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 54% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 51% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 48% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 48% |
Janson Junk Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 45% | 49% |
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 27% | 66% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 52% | — | — | 40% |
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 46% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 48% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases | 45% | — | — | — |
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 45% |
Leo Jimenez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | — | 51% |
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 43% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Jose Tena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 41% | — | — | 44% |
Deyvison De Los Santos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 43% |
Andres Chaparro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 41% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 40% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 39% |
Jackson Kent Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 19% | 50% |
Janson Junk Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 33% | 35% |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 33% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 27% | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 27% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 25% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 24% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 22% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Leo Jimenez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Jackson Kent Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 19% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 18% |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 11% | 23% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs | 15% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Leo Jimenez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 12% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs | 12% | — | 70% | 6% |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 9% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 2% | 20% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 15% | 7% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 19% |
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 RBIs | 10% | — | — | — |
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | — | 9% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 12% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 7% | — | 11% | 7% |
Agustin Ramirez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 9% | 4% |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Deyvison De Los Santos Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Brian Navarreto Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 6% |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | 3% | 10% |
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 10% | 5% |
Jose Tena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 5% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | 4% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 10% | 4% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 6% |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 0% | 5% |
Washington Nationals | 1% | 3% | 7% | 4% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 4% |
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 5% |
Jackson Kent Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Agustin Ramirez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Jackson Kent Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 2% | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jackson Kent Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 0% | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Brian Navarreto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jackson Kent Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Janson Junk Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins
96.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Washington vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Washington vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 23 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 1:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 93.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.9¢ on ProphetX, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; Washington Nationals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 7.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Miami Marlins at 96.8¢ implies about a 96.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.