About This Market
Washington Nationals vs.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22
This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Miami Marlins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Washington Nationals vs.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Irvin Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Jake Irvin Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Eury Perez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jake Irvin Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jake Irvin Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jake Irvin Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jake Irvin Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jakob Marsee Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Miami MarlinsWINNER | 99% | 99% | 96% | 98% |
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Miami Marlins spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 96% |
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 94% | 91% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 91% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 84% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 98% | 83% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Griffin Conine Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 98% |
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 86% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 91% | 81% |
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 86% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 83% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 81% |
Owen Caissie Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 81% |
Brady House Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Andrew Pinckney Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Joe Mack Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Jose Tena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Otto Lopez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 76% | 83% |
Griffin Conine Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 75% | 81% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Miami Marlins spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 73% |
Jake Irvin Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 54% | 93% |
Andrew Pinckney Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 71% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 69% | — | — | — |
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Esteury Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Joe Mack Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Eury Perez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 64% | — |
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Javier Sanoja Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits | 62% | — | — | — |
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Heriberto Hernandez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Xavier Edwards Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Owen Caissie Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Eury Perez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 55% | 56% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Eury Perez Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 55% | — | — | — |
Jakob Marsee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jake Irvin Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 50% | — | — | — |
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Javier Sanoja Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 6% |
Otto Lopez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Owen Caissie Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 46% | — | — | 48% |
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Eury Perez Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 45% | 47% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Joe Mack Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jake Irvin Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 45% | 46% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Eury Perez Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 42% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — | 41% |
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases | 39% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 39% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 37% | — |
Eury Perez Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 35% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 34% | — |
Eury Perez Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 34% | — |
Miami Marlins spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 33% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 31% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 29% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 29% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 28% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 27% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 26% | 28% |
Brady House Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 26% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 24% | 27% |
Miami Marlins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Total Bases | 24% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 20% |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 20% | — | — | — |
Jakob Marsee Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 9% | 27% |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Total Bases | 18% | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 17% |
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs | 14% | — | — | 17% |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 14% |
Otto Lopez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 25% |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 6% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | 6% | 20% |
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 13% | — |
Griffin Conine Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 5% |
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 5% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | — |
Xavier Edwards Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 99% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 2% | 18% |
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 9% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 8% |
Jake Irvin Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 8% | — | — | — |
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 12% | 4% |
Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Andrew Pinckney Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Joe Mack Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Jose Tena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Owen Caissie Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 4% |
Jake Irvin Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 4% | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% |
Eury Perez Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | — |
Heriberto Hernandez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Otto Lopez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Xavier Edwards Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Eury Perez Over 10.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 9.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jake Irvin Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — | — |
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Jake Irvin Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Jake Irvin Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
CJ Abrams Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Eury Perez Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jake Irvin Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jake Irvin Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Griffin Conine Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Miami Marlins
97.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Washington vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Washington vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 22 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Miami Marlins: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 98.5¢ on Polymarket US; Washington Nationals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.9¢ on ProphetX, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Miami Marlins at 97.9¢ implies about a 97.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.