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Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Mets Wins: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-14

This market resolved on 2026-08-14. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

Washington Nationals vs.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Robert Stock Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
Robert Stock Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—99%—
New York MetsWINNER
99%99%99%99%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Andrew Alvarez Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Andrew Alvarez Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Luis Torrens Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Robert Stock Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
——49%99%
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
——50%99%
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Gabriel Arias Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%97%
Jorge Polanco Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%94%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
———94%
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%89%
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5
———88%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——84%89%
Total under 10.5
———86%
Total under 11.5
———86%
Andrew Alvarez Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——0%86%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
———83%
Jorbit Vivas Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———82%
Total under 9.5
——68%95%
Total under 6.5
———81%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5
———80%
Luis Torrens Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——56%94%
Andrew Alvarez Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%——74%
Total under 7.5
——57%91%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——48%99%
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs
——47%98%
Total over 4.5
99%——72%
Total over 3.5
99%——71%
Total under 8.5
——56%87%
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———71%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———70%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Jose Tena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Andrew Alvarez Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%——63%
CJ Abrams Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Gabriel Arias Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Jorge Polanco Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
———60%
Total under 5.5
———60%
Robert Stock Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——44%74%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
99%—33%84%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0
———58%
Robert Stock Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—56%58%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total under 9.0
———56%
Total over 8.0
———56%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
62%——49%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
99%—27%83%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———51%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5
——73%28%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———49%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5
——67%29%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——47%
Gabriel Arias Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jorge Polanco Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Jose Tena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Total over 9.0
———46%
Total under 8.0
———46%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
———44%
Andrew Alvarez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——0%43%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
44%——41%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0
———42%
Luis Torrens Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———36%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———35%
Jorbit Vivas Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———34%
Total under 3.5
———34%
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—53%14%
Total under 4.5
———32%
Total over 7.5
1%—43%20%
Washington Nationals
1%1%59%3%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
——52%9%
Total over 8.5
1%—44%14%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5
1%—44%10%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
1%——26%
Total over 10.5
1%——25%
Total over 6.5
1%——25%
Total over 11.5
1%——24%
Total over 5.5
1%——24%
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5
1%——22%
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
22%———
Total over 9.5
1%—32%10%
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs
———20%
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
19%———
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5
1%—16%16%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5
———14%
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Jorge Polanco Over 0.5 Home Runs
———13%
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Gabriel Arias Over 0.5 Home Runs
———11%
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5
———11%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%10%
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%9%
Jose Tena Over 0.5 Home Runs
———9%
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%9%
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—51%8%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——10%6%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%8%
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Luis Torrens Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs
——8%6%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———7%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%6%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
——51%6%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
6%———
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
———6%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Andrew Alvarez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Andrew Alvarez Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Andrew Alvarez Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
1%———
Over 13.5 runs scored
1%———
Robert Stock Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Robert Stock Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Robert Stock Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Robert Stock Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
Robert Stock Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——1%—
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Andrew Alvarez Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——0%—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Gabriel Arias Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jorge Polanco Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Jose Tena Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Home Runs
——0%—
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Gabriel Arias Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jorge Polanco Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jose Tena Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jose Tena Under 0.5 Home Runs
——0%99%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread58.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Mets

99.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Washington wins the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Washington Nationals vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-14 at 7:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.4¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; Washington Nationals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 59.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.2¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 58.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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