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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

San Diego Padres Wins: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-07

This market resolved on 2026-09-07. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome.

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms

Candidate
Jake Irvin Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	100%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	99%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	99%	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	99%	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	99%	—
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	99%	—
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	99%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	95%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	95%	—
Jake Cronenworth Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	95%	—
Ty France Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	95%	—
Ty France Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	95%	—
Daylen Lile Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	95%	—
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5	—	—	94%
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	93%	93%
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5	—	—	89%
Total under 9.5	—	90%	86%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5	—	—	88%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5	—	93%	80%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5	—	89%	83%
Brady House Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	85%	—
Total under 12.5	—	—	84%
Total under 10.5	—	—	81%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	81%	—
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	81%	—
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5	—	—	80%
Total under 11.5	—	—	79%
Total under 8.5	—	100%	75%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	75%
Total under 7.5	—	96%	51%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0	—	—	72%
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	97%	47%
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	72%
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	94%	49%
Dustin Harris Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	95%	45%
Jake Irvin Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	99%	65%
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	74%	54%
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	74%	99%	53%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	63%
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	62%
Total under 5.5	—	—	61%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	60%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5	—	31%	89%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5	—	98%	19%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	58%
Jake Irvin Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	56%	60%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0	—	—	58%
Dustin Harris Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	64%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	57%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	64%
Total under 9.0	—	—	57%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	62%
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	61%
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	55%
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	99%	54%
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	59%
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	58%
Total under 8.0	—	—	54%
James Wood Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	57%
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	95%	12%
James Wood Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	12%	95%	—
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	57%
James Wood Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	55%	50%	—
Total over 8.0	—	—	51%
Daylen Lile Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	51%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	50%
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	51%
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	50%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Brady House Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Brady House Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Brady House Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Brady House Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Brady House Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Brady House Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	50%	—
Daylen Lile Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Jake Cronenworth Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
James Wood Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
James Wood Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Manny Machado Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Manny Machado Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Ty France Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	—
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	50%
James Wood Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	2%	95%	49%
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	47%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	48%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	46%	50%	—
Nick Pivetta Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	47%
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	50%	43%
Total under 6.5	—	—	46%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	42%	50%	46%
Freddy Fermin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	45%
Jake Irvin Over 4.5 Strikeouts	1%	44%	46%
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	99%	45%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0	—	—	45%
Total over 9.0	—	—	44%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	42%
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5	1%	69%	15%
Jake Irvin Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	1%	41%
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	40%
Total under 4.5	—	—	34%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	23%	46%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	3%	61%
Nick Pivetta Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	31%
Total over 8.5	1%	0%	29%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0	—	—	29%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5	1%	2%	47%
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	19%	—
CJ Abrams Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	19%	—
Daylen Lile Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	19%	—
Manny Machado Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	19%	—
Ty France Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	19%	—
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	17%	19%	—
Luis Campusano Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	19%	14%
Total over 7.5	1%	4%	27%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5	1%	7%	23%
Brady House Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	15%	—
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	15%
Total over 9.5	1%	10%	18%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5	1%	1%	25%
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	10%	—
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	11%
Dustin Harris Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	99%	10%
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5	—	—	10%
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5	—	—	10%
Jake Irvin Over 6.5 Strikeouts	10%	99%	—
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	7%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	6%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	5%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	5%	—
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	5%	—
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	5%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	5%	—
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	5%	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	—
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	—
Jake Irvin Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	1%	—
James Wood Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	—
Manny Machado Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	—
Manny Machado Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	1%	—
Jake Irvin Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	0%	—
Jake Irvin Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	0%	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Abimelec Ortiz Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Brady House Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Brady House Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
James Wood Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
James Wood Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
James Wood Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
James Wood Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Manny Machado Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Nick Pivetta Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—
Nick Pivetta Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—
San Diego PadresWINNER	—	—	—
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—
Ty France Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Ty France Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Ty France Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—
Washington Nationals	—	—	—
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Washington wins the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 5:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 5:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 7 at 5:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-07 at 5:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET) odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

San Diego Padres Wins: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET)

San Diego Padres Wins: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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San Diego Padres Wins: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET)

San Diego Padres Wins: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (5:10 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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