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Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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San Diego Padres Wins: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-08

This market resolved on 2026-09-08. San Diego Padres was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.

About This Market

Washington Nationals vs.

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5
———97%
Total under 11.5
———80%
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5
——86%72%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5
——66%88%
Total under 10.5
———75%
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———75%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———74%
Keibert Ruiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Ethan Salas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———73%
Total over 4.5
100%——72%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5
——57%83%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5
——76%62%
Keibert Ruiz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———68%
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5
———68%
Dustin Harris Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Ethan Salas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Total under 9.5
———66%
Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———65%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0
———64%
Luis Campusano Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
San Diego PadresWINNER
100%63%52%99%
Xander Bogaerts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.0
———58%
Jorbit Vivas Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
Freddy Fermin Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———56%
Total under 6.5
——45%64%
Total under 8.0
———54%
Total over 6.5
99%—100%53%
Total over 8.0
———52%
Total under 7.5
——58%44%
Total under 8.5
——53%49%
Jorbit Vivas Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Xander Bogaerts Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Freddy Fermin Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Luis Campusano Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0
———46%
Total over 7.5
100%—31%60%
James Wood Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
38%—50%—
Dustin Harris Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Keibert Ruiz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.0
———40%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5
3%—40%40%
Total over 8.5
100%—21%55%
Washington Nationals
1%37%70%10%
Total under 5.5
———34%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5
2%—48%32%
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5
7%—4%15%
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5
3%—4%22%
Abimelec Ortiz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Abimelec Ortiz Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Brady House Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Casey Mize Over 1.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs
————
Casey Mize Over 2.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Over 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Over 4.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Over 5.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Over 6.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Over 7.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Under 3.5 Strikeouts
————
Casey Mize Under 4.5 Strikeouts
————
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits
————
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits
————
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits
————
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs
————
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits
————
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits
————
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits
————
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Daylen Lile Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Daylen Lile Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Daylen Lile Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 5.5 Total Bases
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits
————
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits
————
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits
————
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Jackson Merrill Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Over 5.5 Total Bases
————
Jackson Merrill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jackson Merrill Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jake Cronenworth Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Jake Cronenworth Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
Jake Cronenworth Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
James Wood Over 0.5 Hits
————
James Wood Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
James Wood Over 0.5 RBIs
————
James Wood Over 1.5 Hits
————
James Wood Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
James Wood Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
James Wood Over 1.5 RBIs
————
James Wood Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
James Wood Over 2.5 Hits
————
James Wood Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
James Wood Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
James Wood Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
James Wood Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
James Wood Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
James Wood Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
James Wood Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
James Wood Over 5.5 Total Bases
————
James Wood Under 0.5 Home Runs
————
James Wood Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
James Wood Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits
————
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 0.5 Home Runs
————
Manny Machado Over 0.5 RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits
————
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Home Runs
————
Manny Machado Over 1.5 RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases
————
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits
————
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 2.5 RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 2.5 Total Bases
————
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 3.5 Total Bases
————
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Manny Machado Over 4.5 Total Bases
————
Manny Machado Over 5.5 Total Bases
————
Manny Machado Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Over 1.5 runs scored
————
Over 2.5 runs scored
————
Over 3.5 runs scored
————
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5
————
Total over 10.5
————
Total over 11.5
————
Total over 5.5
————
Total over 9.5
————
Ty France Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Ty France Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Ty France Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
————
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread69.0%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

San Diego Padres

78.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If San Diego wins the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 8 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-08 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are San Diego Padres: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 52.0¢ on Polymarket, 98.9¢ on ProphetX, 63.0¢ on Polymarket US; Washington Nationals: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 69.5¢ on Polymarket, 10.4¢ on ProphetX, 37.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 69.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres (9:40 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, San Diego Padres at 78.4¢ implies about a 78.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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