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Live prediction market odds for MLS Cup Champion. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MLS Cup Champion

2026-12-19

Best price · tap to trade

Vancouver Whitecaps FC24¢4.17xKalshiNashville SC16¢6.25xKalshiPhiladelphia Union9¢11.11xKalshi
Compare all 26 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Vancouver Whitecaps FC about a 23.6% chance. Nashville SC follows at 15.8%, Philadelphia Union follows at 7.2%, and Los Angeles FC follows at 7.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Traders give Vancouver Whitecaps FC about a 23.6% chance. Nashville SC follows at 15.8%, Philadelphia Union follows at 7.2%, and Los Angeles FC follows at 7.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the MLS Cup Champion for the 2026 season. As teams compete for playoff positions and showcase their talent, fan engagement and franchise investments will heavily influence the odds leading up to the championship match.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
VW
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
24%
Kalshi24¢
Polymarket23¢
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
24.0%23¢24¢76¢77¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.2%21¢23¢77¢79¢
NS
Nashville SC
16%
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket17¢
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%15¢16¢84¢85¢
PolymarketPolymarket
16.6%17¢17¢83¢83¢
PU
Philadelphia Union
7%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%5¢9¢91¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.3%4¢7¢93¢96¢
LA
Los Angeles FC
7%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket8¢
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%7¢8¢92¢93¢
CF
Chicago Fire FC
5%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket6¢
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%5¢6¢94¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
ESPNFox Sports
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.6%
Platforms2
Candidates26
Leader

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

23.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: MLS Cup Champion

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Atlanta is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
ESPNFox Sports
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the MLS Cup Champion?

Team performance during the regular season, player injuries, and key matchups in the playoffs can significantly affect the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and betting trends also play a role in shaping market prices.

When is the MLS Cup scheduled to take place?

The MLS Cup is set for December 19, 2026. This timing allows for a culmination of the season's efforts, with teams vying for the championship title.

How do prediction markets work for sports events like the MLS Cup?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of specific outcomes, such as which team will win the MLS Cup. Prices fluctuate based on market sentiment and real-world developments, providing insights into potential outcomes.

What does the MLS Cup Champion prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest MLS Cup Champion odds?

The latest available prices are Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 24.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.2¢ on Polymarket; Nashville SC: 15.0¢ on Kalshi, 16.6¢ on Polymarket; Philadelphia Union: 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 7.3¢ on Polymarket; Los Angeles FC: 6.5¢ on Kalshi, 7.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $198K lifetime bet $5.7K on No at 95¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $198K lifetime bet $2.8K on No at 94¢

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PolymarketKalshiWill Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?Trade on Kalshi →