Live prediction market odds for NASA lands on the moon?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Compare all 4 outcomes across 1 venueLive prediction market odds for NASA lands on the moon?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Best price · tap to trade
Compare all 4 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give Before 2030 about a 47.0% chance. Before 2029 follows at 23.0%, Before 2028 follows at 2.3%, and Before 2027 follows at 0.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Traders give Before 2030 about a 47.0% chance. Before 2029 follows at 23.0%, Before 2028 follows at 2.3%, and Before 2027 follows at 0.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Kalshi is tracking the event of NASA landing on the moon, anticipated to occur by 2027. This mission represents a major milestone in space exploration, with implications for scientific advancement and international competition in space technology.
KalshiKalshiBefore 2030
47.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf an announcement indicates that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after Issuance and by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A successful moon landing would mark humanity's return to the lunar surface, fostering advancements in science and technology. It also aims to establish a foundation for future missions to Mars and beyond.
The mission aims to explore the lunar surface, conduct scientific research, and test new technologies for sustainable human presence. It also seeks to gather data that could support future deep-space exploration.
Public interest can influence the odds as excitement and media coverage increase awareness and speculation. Factors such as funding, technological readiness, and international partnerships also play a role in shaping market dynamics.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Before 2030: 47.0¢ on Kalshi; Before 2029: 23.0¢ on Kalshi; Before 2028: 2.3¢ on Kalshi; Before 2027: 0.4¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.