Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat
Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.
NBA Game starts Listed Updated
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Traders give Miami Heat about a 55.0% chance. Cleveland Cavaliers follows at 45.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.
KalshiPolymarket USNovigPolymarketProphetXBest price among US-regulated venues.
Best price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX and Underdog.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Cleveland vs Miami Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigMiami Heat in Cleveland Cavaliers @ Miami Heat (NBA); settled by Novig.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game between Cavaliers and Heat, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the CLE Cavaliers vs MIA Heat professional basketball game scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
UnderdogCLE @ MIA Moneyline: Heat to win in CLE @ MIA; settled by Underdog.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Miami Heat: 55.0¢ on Kalshi, 55.5¢ on Polymarket, 54.7¢ on ProphetX, 55.0¢ on Polymarket US, 54.8¢ on Novig; Cleveland Cavaliers: 45.5¢ on Kalshi, 44.5¢ on Polymarket, 45.3¢ on ProphetX, 45.0¢ on Polymarket US, 45.3¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Miami Heat at 55.0¢ implies about a 55.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Trader up $62.6K lifetime bought $1.3K of Heat (-2.5) at 50¢
5h agoSpread: Heat (-2.5)Trade on Polymarket US 
