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Live prediction market odds for Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Browse historical results
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Kansas City Chiefs Wins: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs

NFL·Resolved 2026-09-14

This market resolved on 2026-09-14. Kansas City Chiefs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 66%.

About This Market

Denver Broncos vs.

Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs: NFL game held on 2026-09-14. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 13.5
89%22%—94%97%
Bo Nix Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns
99%85%—22%84%
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 7.5
99%30%—97%68%
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 14.5
77%14%—83%—
Travis Kelce Over 1.5 Receptions
100%72%—81%—
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 10.5
97%27%—92%58%
Kenneth Walker III Over 2.5 Receptions
83%90%—31%67%
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 16.5
72%11%—72%—
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 2.5
100%51%71%100%98%
Kenneth Walker III Over 1.5 Receptions
100%98%—42%—
Xavier Worthy Over 1.5 Receptions
99%89%—50%—
Total under 48.5
—67%51%73%66%
Rashee Rice Over 4.5 Receptions
11%71%—1%65%
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 17.5
68%7%—62%80%
Kansas City ChiefsWINNER
100%56%66%55%99%
Travis Kelce Over 2.5 Receptions
100%81%—41%—
Travis Kelce Over 3.5 Receptions
7%60%—59%60%
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 9.5
99%24%—9%93%
Total over 45.5
43%——100%74%
Total over 40.5
99%59%55%58%97%
Denver Broncos spread minus 6.5
1%25%—90%—
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 20.5
63%7%53%36%63%
Bo Nix Over 174.5 Passing Yards
31%93%—22%75%
Total over 47.5
———33%72%
Total over 43.5
52%—51%100%85%
Denver Broncos spread minus 13.5
1%8%—95%—
Jaylen Waddle Over 4.5 Receptions
4%55%—49%54%
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 1.5
100%50%51%1%98%
Denver Broncos spread plus 1.5
—50%49%1%6%
Xavier Worthy Over 2.5 Receptions
99%5%—49%69%
Jaylen Waddle Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
6%69%—69%27%
Kenneth Walker III Over 14.5 Receiving Yards
93%36%—40%55%
Denver Broncos spread minus 10.5
1%11%—84%—
Jaylen Waddle Over 2.5 Receptions
21%73%—1%—
Rashee Rice Over 5.5 Receptions
7%56%—45%44%
Courtland Sutton Over 2.5 Receptions
43%81%—39%—
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 6.5
100%36%50%31%90%
Total under 40.5
—41%45%100%11%
Jaylen Waddle Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
5%56%—61%25%
Travis Kelce Over 4.5 Receptions
13%41%—40%42%
Total under 45.5
———45%36%
Courtland Sutton Over 3.5 Receptions
18%70%—28%53%
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 5.5
100%40%—99%99%
Courtland Sutton Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
22%74%—39%—
Bo Nix Over 224.5 Passing Yards
7%42%—50%34%
Total under 47.5
———33%40%
Kenneth Walker III Over 3.5 Receptions
28%2%—51%41%
Denver Broncos
1%45%34%0%2%
Jaylen Waddle Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
4%51%—49%18%
Denver Broncos spread plus 6.5
—64%50%2%16%
Xavier Worthy Over 3.5 Receptions
21%47%—23%43%
Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
22%42%—22%44%
Total under 43.5
——50%30%24%
Denver Broncos spread plus 2.5
—49%30%0%5%
Total over 48.5
15%33%50%100%24%
Courtland Sutton Over 4.5 Receptions
8%48%—18%38%
Rashee Rice Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
8%42%—49%13%
Denver Broncos spread minus 5.5
1%27%—1%—
Rashee Rice Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
6%38%—48%15%
Jaylen Waddle Over 8.5 Receptions
1%3%—50%—
Rashee Rice Over 8.5 Receptions
3%25%—51%—
Kenneth Walker III Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
1%2%—48%—
Rashee Rice Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
3%37%—45%11%
Denver Broncos spread minus 2.5
1%39%—9%—
Rashee Rice Over 3.5 Receptions
14%89%—24%—
Denver Broncos spread minus 7.5
1%20%—78%23%
Courtland Sutton Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
6%35%—50%11%
Courtland Sutton Over 6.5 Receptions
12%22%—49%—
Kenneth Walker III Over 5.5 Receptions
20%3%—50%—
Xavier Worthy Over 5.5 Receptions
19%3%—49%—
Denver Broncos spread minus 1.5
1%38%—18%5%
Denver Broncos spread minus 3.5
1%32%—1%18%
Jaylen Waddle Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
4%21%—52%14%
Courtland Sutton Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
7%2%—46%28%
Denver Broncos spread minus 9.5
1%17%—100%—
Courtland Sutton Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
7%16%—21%14%
Denver Broncos spread minus 4.5
1%27%—2%—
Travis Kelce Over 7.5 Receptions
1%23%—6%—
Xavier Worthy Over 4.5 Receptions
14%30%—14%—
Bo Nix Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
4%10%—47%15%
Kenneth Walker III Over 4.5 Receptions
13%3%—15%—
Travis Kelce Over 5.5 Receptions
13%11%—46%—
Travis Kelce Over 6.5 Receptions
13%12%—48%—
Bo Nix Over 274.5 Passing Yards
8%12%—14%—
Courtland Sutton Over 5.5 Receptions
4%30%—12%—
Kenneth Walker III Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
5%12%—23%—
Rashee Rice Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
3%32%—14%10%
Rashee Rice Over 89.5 Receiving Yards
8%25%—11%12%
Rashee Rice Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
9%———14%
Jaylen Waddle Over 3.5 Receptions
11%2%—37%—
Rashee Rice Over 7.5 Receptions
7%30%—11%—
Bo Nix Over 324.5 Passing Yards
4%10%—50%11%
Courtland Sutton Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
4%9%—12%11%
Jaylen Waddle Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
3%7%—16%12%
Jaylen Waddle Over 89.5 Receiving Yards
3%7%—49%12%
Jaylen Waddle Over 6.5 Receptions
3%9%—13%—
Courtland Sutton Over 79.5 Receiving Yards
9%3%—9%11%
Courtland Sutton Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
2%10%—6%10%
Jaylen Waddle Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
3%2%—51%10%
Denver Broncos spread minus 14.5
1%6%—7%—
Rashee Rice Over 6.5 Receptions
10%3%—1%—
Courtland Sutton Over 89.5 Receiving Yards
4%2%—7%10%
Rashee Rice Over 9.5 Receptions
2%5%—5%—
Jaylen Waddle Over 109.5 Receiving Yards
2%4%—7%—
Jaylen Waddle Over 5.5 Receptions
4%4%—20%—
Rashee Rice Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
3%4%—8%—
Courtland Sutton Over 7.5 Receptions
2%28%—4%—
Jaylen Waddle Over 7.5 Receptions
3%3%—43%—
Rashee Rice Over 109.5 Receiving Yards
3%3%—6%—
Xavier Worthy Over 6.5 Receptions
3%3%—4%—
Bo Nix Over 3.5 Passing Touchdowns
1%2%—3%—
Kenneth Walker III Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
3%2%—12%—
Travis Kelce Over 99.5 Receiving Yards
2%2%—4%—
Bo Nix Over 149.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Over 199.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Over 249.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Over 299.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Over 349.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Over 399.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Under 149.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Under 199.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Under 249.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Under 299.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Under 349.5 Passing Yards
—————
Bo Nix Under 399.5 Passing Yards
—————
Courtland Sutton Over 1.5 Receptions
—————
Courtland Sutton Over 109.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Courtland Sutton Over 14.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Courtland Sutton Over 8.5 Receptions
—————
Courtland Sutton Over 9.5 Receptions
—————
Denver Broncos spread plus 0.5
—————
Denver Broncos spread plus 3.5
—————
Denver Broncos spread plus 4.5
—————
Jaylen Waddle Over 1.5 Receptions
—————
Jaylen Waddle Over 10.5 Receptions
—————
Jaylen Waddle Over 119.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Jaylen Waddle Over 129.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Jaylen Waddle Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Jaylen Waddle Over 9.5 Receptions
—————
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 0.5
—————
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 3.5
—————
Kansas City Chiefs spread minus 4.5
—————
Kenneth Walker III Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Kenneth Walker III Over 6.5 Receptions
—————
Over 21.5 points scored
—————
Over 27.5 points scored
—————
Over 51.5 points scored
—————
Over 57.5 points scored
—————
Over 63.5 points scored
—————
Rashee Rice Over 10.5 Receptions
—————
Rashee Rice Over 11.5 Receptions
—————
Rashee Rice Over 119.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Rashee Rice Over 129.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Rashee Rice Over 139.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Rashee Rice Over 2.5 Receptions
—————
Total over 24.5
—————
Total over 26.5
—————
Total over 28.5
—————
Total over 30.5
—————
Total over 32.5
—————
Total over 33.5
—————
Total over 34.5
—————
Total over 36.5
—————
Total over 38.5
—————
Total over 39.5
—————
Total over 41.5
—————
Total over 42.5
—————
Total over 44.5
—————
Total over 46.5
—————
Total over 50.5
—————
Total over 52.5
—————
Total over 54.5
—————
Total over 56.5
—————
Total over 58.5
—————
Total over 60.5
—————
Total over 62.5
—————
Total under 24.5
—————
Total under 26.5
—————
Total under 28.5
—————
Total under 30.5
—————
Total under 32.5
—————
Total under 34.5
—————
Total under 36.5
—————
Total under 38.5
—————
Total under 39.5
—————
Total under 41.5
—————
Total under 42.5
—————
Total under 44.5
—————
Total under 46.5
—————
Total under 50.5
—————
Total under 52.5
—————
Total under 54.5
—————
Total under 56.5
—————
Total under 58.5
—————
Total under 60.5
—————
Total under 62.5
—————
Travis Kelce Over 109.5 Receiving Yards
—————
Travis Kelce Over 8.5 Receptions
—————
Travis Kelce Over 9.5 Receptions
—————
Xavier Worthy Over 7.5 Receptions
—————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread45.0%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Winner

Kansas City Chiefs

74.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kansas City wins the Denver vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the Denver vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair market price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Kansas City Chiefs in Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs (NFL); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 14 at 8:15PM ET: If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos". If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL game scheduled for Sep 14, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, the market will settle to $0.50. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NFL.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs odds?

The last available prices are Kansas City Chiefs: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 54.5¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 55.5¢ on Polymarket US, 66.0¢ on Novig; Denver Broncos: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.3¢ on Polymarket, 2.0¢ on ProphetX, 44.5¢ on Polymarket US, 34.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 45.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs prediction market payouts work?

For example, Kansas City Chiefs at 74.9¢ implies about a 74.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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