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Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Novig and Polymarket and ProphetX.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

NFL·2026-10-04

Best price · tap to trade

Kansas City Chiefs65¢1.54xPolymarket USLas Vegas Raiders35¢2.86xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Kansas City Chiefs about a 65.6% chance. Las Vegas Raiders follows at 34.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.2 percentage points.

Traders give Kansas City Chiefs about a 65.6% chance. Las Vegas Raiders follows at 34.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, and ProphetX. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.2 percentage points.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders: NFL game scheduled for 2026-10-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

5 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Novig
Polymarket
ProphetX
Best price
Kansas City ChiefsKansas City Chiefs
66%
Kalshi66¢
Polymarket US65¢
Novig66¢
Polymarket66¢
ProphetX66¢
Polymarket US1.53x65¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
65.0%65¢65¢35¢35¢
NovigNovig
66.0%65¢66¢34¢35¢
PolymarketPolymarket
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
ProphetXProphetX
66.2%65¢66¢34¢35¢
Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders
35%
Kalshi36¢
Polymarket US35¢
Novig35¢
Polymarket35¢
ProphetX35¢
Polymarket US2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
35.0%34¢36¢64¢66¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
35.0%35¢35¢65¢65¢
NovigNovig
35.0%34¢35¢65¢66¢
PolymarketPolymarket
34.0%34¢35¢65¢66¢
ProphetXProphetX
35.2%34¢35¢65¢66¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USNovigNovigPolymarketPolymarketProphetXProphetX

Spread

Best price
KC -4.5
Kalshi50¢
Polymarket US50¢
Polymarket50¢
ProphetX52¢
Polymarket US2.00x50¢
LV +4.5
Kalshi50¢
Polymarket US51¢
Polymarket49¢
ProphetX51¢
Polymarket US1.98x51¢

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Totals

Best price
O 47.5
Kalshi50¢
Polymarket US49¢
ProphetX52¢
Polymarket US2.04x49¢
U 47.5
Kalshi50¢
Polymarket US51¢
ProphetX53¢
Polymarket US1.94x52¢

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.2%
Platforms5
Candidates2
Leader

Kansas City Chiefs

65.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Las Vegas wins the KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the team who wins the KC Chiefs vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Las Vegas Raiders in Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders (NFL); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:25PM ET: If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs". If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders NFL game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, the market will settle to $0.50. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NFL.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders odds?

The latest available prices are Kansas City Chiefs: 65.5¢ on Kalshi, 65.5¢ on Polymarket, 66.2¢ on ProphetX, 65.0¢ on Polymarket US, 66.0¢ on Novig; Las Vegas Raiders: 35.0¢ on Kalshi, 34.0¢ on Polymarket, 35.2¢ on ProphetX, 35.0¢ on Polymarket US, 35.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders prediction market payouts work?

For example, Kansas City Chiefs at 65.6¢ implies about a 65.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Chiefs

Smart Money Consensus$494
$494Chiefs
Smart Traders Split2
2Chiefs
Polymarket USBuy Yes at 65¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Chiefs$494 · 2 whales
Raiders$232 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $74.3K lifetime bet $1.7K on Chiefs at 65¢

7m ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChiefs vs. RaidersTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $74.3K lifetime bet $534 on Chiefs at 65¢

7m ago
PolymarketPolymarket USChiefs vs. RaidersTrade on Polymarket US →

Trader up $959K lifetime bet $1.2K on Chiefs (-4.5) at 50¢

5h ago
PolymarketPolymarket USSpread: Chiefs (-4.5)Trade on Polymarket US →