Traders give Evan Bouchard about a 42.2% chance. Quinn Hughes follows at 28.1%, Cale Makar follows at 9.3%, and Alex Pietrangelo follows at 9.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.9 percentage points.
Evan Bouchard is a defenseman for the Edmonton Oilers. He was drafted 10th overall by the Oilers in the 2018 NHL Draft. Bouchard has been recognized by teammates as an elite defenseman, with forward Leon Draisaitl stating, "He's as elite at it gets."
About Quinn Hughes
Quinn Hughes is a defenseman for the Minnesota Wild. He won the James Norris Memorial Trophy in 2024 after leading NHL defensemen with 92 points. Hughes is recognized for his exceptional playmaking and leadership on the ice.
About Cale Makar
Cale Makar is a defenseman for the Colorado Avalanche. He won the James Norris Memorial Trophy in 2022 and 2025. Makar signed an eight-year, $163.2 million contract extension with the Avalanche in August 2026.
About Lane Hutson
Lane Hutson is a defenseman for the Montreal Canadiens in the NHL. He won the Calder Memorial Trophy as the league's top rookie in the 2024-25 season. Hutson's exceptional performance and rapid development make him a strong contender for the James Norris Memorial Trophy.
About Adam Fox
Adam Fox is a defenseman and alternate captain for the New York Rangers. He won the James Norris Memorial Trophy in 2021, becoming only the second player after Bobby Orr to do so before his third NHL season. Fox is recognized for his exceptional defensive skills and playmaking abilities.
About Zach Werenski
Zach Werenski is the alternate captain and defenseman for the Columbus Blue Jackets. He won the James Norris Memorial Trophy in 2026 as the NHL's top defenseman. His consistent performance and leadership make him a key figure in the league.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Adam Fox wins the NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
If multiple participants tie for the award, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay $1 minus the “Yes” payout.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the James Norris Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What criteria are used to determine the Norris Trophy winner?
The Norris Trophy is awarded based on the player's offensive and defensive performance throughout the NHL regular season. Voters consider factors such as points scored and defensive contributions.
Who votes for the Norris Trophy winner?
The winner is determined by a vote conducted by the Professional Hockey Writers' Association. Members of this association submit their ballots at the end of the regular season.
When is the Norris Trophy awarded?
The Norris Trophy is awarded during the NHL Awards ceremony, which takes place after the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The exact timing can vary each year.
What does the NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Evan Bouchard: 42.0¢ on Kalshi, 42.4¢ on Polymarket; Quinn Hughes: 30.5¢ on Kalshi, 25.6¢ on Polymarket; Cale Makar: 8.0¢ on Kalshi, 10.5¢ on Polymarket; Alex Pietrangelo: 9.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.